If the SEC doesn’t win the national championship this season, that will effectively end their run of ruling college football. That doesn’t suggest the SEC has fallen off a cliff; it just means the playing field for elite players is more spread out, and they can’t hoard the top prospects as before because of NIL money.
Here is a look at the latest odds to win the SEC championship and which teams at the top-rated sportsbooks have a legitimate shot at making the postseason.
2025 Southeastern Championship Game Winner Odds
| The Elite | The Contenders | The Longshots |
|---|---|---|
| Texas (+250) | LSU (+1000) | Tennessee (+1400) |
| Georgia (+375) | Ole Miss (+1000) | South Carolina (+2000) |
| Alabama (+450) | Texas A&M (+1200) | Florida (+2200) |
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Texas (+250)
Interestingly enough, Texas has enjoyed more success changing conferences.
The Longhorns will showcase QB Arch Manning, and if he’s as good as the hype, winning the SEC is a mere stepping stone to their real goal. Texas should again have a sound defense.
If Steve Sarkisian can develop the running game, not sure who will corral the Horns.
Georgia (+375)
Georgia remains at least a Top 10 team in the country, still oozing talent.
One difference, Georgia, like Alabama, can no longer keep freshmen on the depth chart to develop them. Working to have them ready to start as sophomores and juniors, as in years past.
The offensive line has fewer road-graters and brick walls on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Kirby Smart is still a superior coach, but the constant turnover of the coaching staff drops the Bulldogs a few notches nationally.
Can the Dawgs still win the conference? For certain. Beyond that depends on health and improvement.
Alabama (+450)
Kalen DeBoer willingly walked into an impossible situation at Alabama.
Nick Saban’s not coming back. DeBoer will now start to put his stamp on the Crimson Tide and will look to have a strong vertical aerial attack and far more potent run offense.
On defense, the Bama still has dudes. The question, however, is whether the Tide can get the pass rush rolling and become tougher up front after finishing #49 against the run.
DeBoer filled many holes and hopes to have his squad ready for a late September trip to Athens, which could decide Alabama’s SEC fate.
LSU (+1000)
In Coach Brian Kelly’s three seasons in Baton Rouge, LSU has always had one clear weakness somewhere on the field that could be exploited.
While the Tigers might not be Texas, this is the best squad Kelly will field, and Garrett Nussmeier might be the best quarterback in the conference. Trips to Oxford and Tuscaloosa won’t be easy, but LSU has the talent and skill to win at least one of those matchups.
Mississippi (+1000)
Nobody in college football works the portal like Lane Kiffin. What Rebels fans want to know is if he can do the same on the field (in big games) and prevent the annual ugly setback?
In comparing the Ole Miss team this year to last season, the previous version looks stronger, and the oddsmakers’ 8.5 wins seem to back this up. The odds of winning the SEC, however, appear inflated.
Texas A&M (+1200)
This is another club that might be a touch overrated.
Having Le’Veon Moss at running back helps Texas A&M, as they were 7-1 with him in the lineup. The offensive line is big and has outstanding run blockers. QB Marcel Reed needs to improve his footwork to become more accurate, which is possible with coach Mike Elko.
The Aggies will be weaker on defense with several losses up front. A win total of 7.5 tells you what is likely to occur.
Tennessee (+1400)
Coach Josh Heupel is offensive-minded.
Having to rebuild the Tennessee offensive line, incorporate new running backs and wide receivers is a tall task for success in the SEC. Now, add in previous QB Nico Iamaleava wanted a full Brinks truck of cash and was sent packing, the Vols will have a new signal caller (Joey Aguilar) who wasn’t in Knoxville for spring practice.
The Volunteers’ defense was #9 last year and could be Top 20 again, but the offense holds the program up.
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South Carolina (+2000)
Shane Beamer has done a good job moving South Carolina to the upper part of the SEC. And having a dynamic playmaking QB like LaNorris Sellers should have the Gamecocks’ offense in good hands.
Critical pieces of the South Carolina defense went to the NFL. With those hopes and the middle to latter part of the schedule playing at LSU, Alabama, at Ole Miss, and at Texas A&M, hard to see the Gamecocks improving on a 9-3 regular season.
Florida (+2200)
Off last year’s vast improvement under besieged coach Billy Napier, Florida could go one of two ways:
- If the returning cast has a natural progression, the Gators would become a Top 20 team and a threat to snatch a playoff spot.
- If Florida again stumbles early, Weeks 3-6 will bury them, facing at LSU, at Miami, Texas, and at Texas A&M.
If the Gators can post 2-2 in those games and upset Georgia, these Gators would have a resume to chomp on.
Auburn (+3300)
Coach Hugh Freeze has improved Auburn to the point of losing excruciatingly close games. But this is the SEC, and close doesn’t count in these parts. Freeze continues to upgrade the skill of the Tigers.
If they can win one of their first three conference clashes (at Norman, at College Station, or home to Georgia), the rest of the schedule is manageable until hosting Alabama in the season finale.
A win total of Over 7.5 is possible without slip-ups.
Oklahoma (+3500)
There are Oklahoma supporters among the masses who see the Sooners moving forward.
Maybe Oklahoma can step up with Washington State QB John Mateer and his OC Ben Arbuckle running the show. Yet it’s hard to get excited because the Sooners’ defense, while improved, still has breakdowns, which is why Oklahoma brought in Brent Venables to start with.
Wait and see approach.
Missouri (+5000)
Eli Drinkwitz has shown well in five seasons at Columbia, particularly the last two.
Missouri was Top 20 in points allowed and total defense, and has enough returning players to approach those figures again. The Tigers’ conundrum is on offense, replacing a QB and six other quality starters.
Arkansas (+15000)
Arkansas was 6-6 for the full season if you ignore the win over Arkansas Pine Bluff last year. It frankly was a little shocking that Sam Pittman kept his job. Pittman is a solid football coach; however, if the idea is to compete for the SEC title game, he’s not the guy.
The off-season at Arkansas was filled with turnover, literally, with 33 Hogs off to the portal and 31 new Hogs coming in. QB Taylen Green will generate numerous big plays running and throwing, along with head-shaking mistakes.
Kentucky (+30000)
For most of Mark Stoops’ 12 years at Kentucky, he could out-scheme and out-work similar teams and bring in players from freshmen to seniors who truly competed. Now, with the NIL money, the Wildcats cannot compete, and Stoops’ best players he develops move on.
Too many questions on the offense to expect anything more than a .500 campaign at best.
Vanderbilt (+30000)
The 2024 season was fun for Vanderbilt football, knocking off Alabama, Auburn on the road, and pushing Texas and the Aggies for four quarters. Beating Georgia Tech in a bowl was the icing on the cake.
QB Diego Pavia is a magician as a playmaker. The concern coming into this year is a full season of tape on Pavia, as defenses were figuring out the Vandy offense late in the year.
The defense is much faster than anticipated and will hold up. However, will the Commodores score enough to go bowling again?
Miss. State (+50000)
The unfortunate death of Mike Leach has completely altered Mississippi State football. Running an offense never seen in the SEC, Leach recruited a different type of unconventional offensive player who he made work.
Having to start over in a program with more limited resources makes the job all the tougher for second-year coach Jeff Lebby at Starkville.
A win total of 3.5 is correct.
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
