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Blue Jays vs. Padres MLB Computer Pick: Chris Bassitt’s Matchup Helps Toronto

Toronto Blue Jays MLB computer picks
Daulton Varsho #25 of the Toronto Blue Jays, left, Kevin Kiermaier #39, center, and George Springer #4 celebrate after the Blue Jays beat the San Diego Padres 5-2 in a baseball game on April 20, 2024 at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Denis Poroy/Getty Images/AFP

It’s another massive day in the MLB, with 16 games on the MLB slate. Thanks to the AI computer model, we’ve found some value on the board we’ll be wagering on.

The AI Model likes the Blue Jays to escape the Padres, 4-3, in today’s series finale. With the Blue Jays at +110 on the moneyline, all the value is on Toronto per the model. Let’s go ahead and break down the MLB odds at the top-rated betting sites.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Computer Pick: Blue Jays (+110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres

Sunday, April 21, 2024 – 04:10 PM ET at Petco Park


There’s no denying Chris Bassitt’s struggles against lefties. This season, he’s allowed a .256 ISO and a wOBA of .482 to 46 lefties.

However, the Padres will only have four lefties in their lineup tonight. Those four lefties have struck out more than 24% of the time against righties and have hit just a .316 wOBA.

Bassitt should get through the Padres’ lineup that has only hit a .320 wOBA since last season.

Toronto’s Righties Have Potential

On the other hand, Joe Musgrove has been way worse against righties as a right-handed thrower. He’s allowed a .208 ISO and wOBA of .415 and will have to face a Blue Jays lineup that will likely have six righties in the lineup.

MLB Computer Pick

Toronto has the matchup advantage analytically. They’re also playing better baseball, with a 12-9 record, while the Padres are currently under .500.

We’ll back the Blue Jays in Game 3 of the series.

MLB Computer Pick: Blue Jays (+110) at Caesars Sportsbook

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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