We’ve got some big college basketball games on the slate tonight. Here are three bets that our computers like ahead of tonight’s action in NCAAB.
- West Virginia-Duke Over 151.5 (-110) at Bet365
- TCU -12.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Texas Tech -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Monday, February 12, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Cameron Indoor Stadium
Our AI Model suggests Wake Forest and Duke will combine for 152 points. With the total currently at 151.5, the Over at Bet365 makes the most sense for this game.
The Duke Blue Devils are 9-3 in the ACC and will be playing their third consecutive game at home before a three-game road trip. They’ll take on a red-hot Wake Forest squad that is 8-4 in conference play with three straight wins against Syracuse, Georgia Tech and NC State. Two of those three games were complete blowouts from the Demon Deacons.
Wake Forest has a terrific offense. The Demon Deacons have a 55% effective field goal percentage and have shot better than 80% from the foul line this season. Wake Forest won’t dominate the glass, but they’ll get some quality looks from the field.
On the other hand, Duke is one of the best teams at limiting turnovers. That’s big news, with Wake Forest struggling to force many mistakes defensively. Duke will get a lot of shots off and has hit better than 37% from three and 54.3% from inside the arc.
Both teams are capable of scoring 80 points tonight. Back the Over at -110 betting odds.
Monday, February 12, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena
The AI model has TCU defeating West Virginia 81-68. With TCU being a 12.5-point favorite, the value is on the Horned Frogs to cover the spread as home favorites.
The West Virginia Mountaineers were just blown away by the Texas Longhorns in their last meeting. West Virginia lost that game 94-58 on the road and fell to 3-7 in conference play. They’ll take on a TCU squad that is only 5-5 in conference play after two consecutive losses to Texas and Iowa State.
Ultimately, TCU’s offense is way better than West Virginia’s.
The Mountaineers have shot 32.8% from three and 46.4% from inside the arc. West Virginia has also added only 26.8% of offensive rebounds and has an effective field goal percentage of 47.4% this season.
Meanwhile, TCU has held teams to 32.9% from three and 50.5% from inside the arc while earning nearly 21% of turnovers. The Horned Frogs should do well on the defensive glass and limit West Virginia’s good looks in this game.
On the other hand, TCU has shot 35.8% from three and 54% from inside the arc. The Horned Frogs are much better on the offensive glass, and West Virginia isn’t a threat to earn many turnovers this year.
Therefore, we’ll back TCU to earn a massive win over West Virginia.
Monday, February 12, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at United Supermarkets Arena
The AI Model has Texas Tech escaping Kansas with a 75-72 win at home. Texas Tech is a 2.5-point favorite, giving the Red Raiders the edge in this matchup against the spread.
The Kansas Jayhawks might be ranked No. 4 in the country. However, they’ve lost four games in the Big 12 and are just 7-4 in conference play. Kansas isn’t even the favorite against Texas Tech tonight.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders finally ended a three-game losing streak on Saturday with a 66-59 home win against UCF. They’re now 6-4 in conference play and have a chance to catch up to Kansas in the Big 12 standings with a home win tonight.
Defense and Offense
The Red Raiders are solid defensively but don’t compare to Kansas. Texas Tech has held teams to 33.5% from deep and 48.5% from inside the arc. They’ve also held teams to a low rate of getting to the foul line.
However, Texas Tech has allowed 31.3% of offensive rebounds and has only held teams to a 49.2% effective field goal percentage. Kansas has nailed 36% from three and 56.4% from inside the arc.
While the Jayhawks aren’t aggressive on the offensive glass, Kansas should still get plenty of good looks from the field. After all, Kansas has shot a 55.7% effective field goal percentage, which is 19th in the country.
It’s just hard to win games when you’re not rebounding on the offensive glass and struggling to get to the foul line.
The Key to Success for Texas Tech
On the other hand, the Red Raiders have been more efficient offensively, nailing 37.5% from three and 51.9% from inside the arc. It’ll be hard to hit shots from inside against Kansas. But from deep, the Red Raiders should have success, especially at home.
Kansas has held teams to 44.5% from inside, but opponents have hit nearly 32.8% from three against the Jayhawks.
Texas Tech shoots way more shots from downtown than Kansas. That should help. Let’s take Texas Tech against the spread. I’m with the AI Model here.
NCAAB Pick: Texas Tech -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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