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European Soccer Best Bets for February 18: Finding Value in the Premier & Serie A

Federico Chiesa Juventus Turin
Juventus Italian forward Federico Chiesa reacts during the Italian Serie A football match Juventus vs Udinese on February 12, 2024 at the “Allianz Stadium” in Turin. Marco Bertorello / AFP

Another weekend of elite-level soccer is just around the corner and we’re here to supplement your betting needs for the most noteworthy fixtures across Europe’s top-flight leagues.

Continue reading our betting previews and soccer picks from the Serie A and the English Premier League fixtures involving Luton vs. Manchester United, Hellas Verona vs. Juventus as well as some extra best bets across both leagues for good measure.

Picks Summary


Hellas Verona vs. Juventus Turin

Saturday, February 17, 2024 – 12:00 PM ET at Marc’Antonio Bentegodi


Hellas Verona

Having lost their four most recent meetings with Juventus – most recently at the end of 2023 – we shouldn’t expect Verona to be brimming with confidence this weekend. This reverse fixture resulted in the 33rd consecutive game where the Gialloblu failed to win in Turin.

More worryingly, home fixtures resulting in success have been a rarity during the 2023/24 season, as Verona has now won just 3 of their 11 domestic clashes at the Marc’Antonio Bentegodi this term.

Juventus

It’s been a miserable few weeks for the Turin giants, who surrendered valuable points in the Serie A title chase behind a loss in the Derby d’Italia and then a shock home defeat to Udinese this past Monday.

However, we shouldn’t allow recency bias to cloud our judgment on a team that’s collected 26 points from a possible 36 away from this season and will now face a Hellas Verona squad that’s lost to Juve in their four most recent domestic meetings.

Seria A Matchday 25 Prediction, Odds, & Trends

The Serie A odds, with a little help from Udinese, are now gifting an excellently priced money line on Juventus to continue their impressive stats against Verona.

There’s no need to overthink it; the value is evident, and in their pursuit to continue battling Milan for the title, Juventus will return to winning ways against a relegation-threatened Verona this weekend.

Supporting Trends

  • Juventus has beaten Verona 1-0 in their three most recent Serie A meetings.
  • Verona have won just 4 of their 24 domestic matches this term.

Score Prediction: Hellas Verona 0 – Juventus 1

Soccer Pick: Juventus ML (-150) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Luton Town vs. Manchester United FC

Sunday, February 18, 2024 – 11:30 AM ET at Kenilworth Road


Luton Town

Luton enjoyed some of their best season results to kickstart 2024, including back-to-back FA Cup wins, a 4-0 drubbing of Brighton and a 4-4 thriller in Newcastle.

However, a 3-1 defeat to the worst team in the league, Sheffield United, last time out brought the Hatters straight back to reality.

Now, with an intimidating Red Devils side making the trip to Kenilworth Road, Luton’s Premier League position just one point above the drop zone is in danger, as the current form of Erik ten Hag and company has flourished with five wins from their last six games in all competitions.

Manchester United

Chasing a top-four spot in the Premier League table was optimistic for United not so long ago.

Still, behind three straight domestic wins, the Red Devils are back as a big-six side and should be uber-confident following successive away wins at Aston Villa and Wolves.

There’s more reason to believe United will return to Manchester with all three points when looking at their history with teams in the bottom half. Not only have they won nine consecutive games against newly promoted teams, but they’ve won 5 of their most recent six clashes with squads below 10th place in the table.

EPL Matchday 25 Prediction, Odds & Trends

To my surprise, the EPL odds are presenting a -125 moneyline for the visitors to prevail in Luton. Much like our Juventus position, I don’t believe there’s any need to overthink this.

The statistics and contrast in squad depth speak for themselves.

While clean sheets haven’t been too common for the visitors of late, they can certainly finish the 90 minutes with more goals netted than their opponents.

Supporting Trends

  • Man Utd have taken 15 from a possible 18 points against teams in the bottom half this term.
  • Luton have lost 7 of their 12 home meetings this season.
  • Man Utd have won 9 straight games against newly promoted teams.

Score Prediction: Luton 1 – Man Utd 2

Soccer Pick: Manchester United ML (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Extra European Soccer Best Bets

Brentford London FC vs. Liverpool FC – EPL

  • When: Saturday, February 17, 07:30 AM ET
  • Best Bet: Liverpool ML (-175) at Bet365

Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio – Serie A

  • When: Sunday, February 18, 09:00 AM ET
  • Best Bet: Udinese ML (-110) at Ceasars Sportsbook

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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