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BETTING

European Soccer Best Bets for February 25: Value Hunting in Serie A

Phil Foden and Ruben Dias Manchester City
Manchester City's English midfielder #47 Phil Foden (front) celebrates scoring with Portuguese defender #03 Ruben Dias against FC Copenhagen. Jonathan Nackstrand / AFP

Prepare yourselves for a weekend of elite-level soccer, as I’m here to supplement your betting needs for the best fixtures across Europe’s top-flight leagues.

Continue reading our betting previews and soccer odds from the Italian Serie A and the English Premier League fixtures involving Bournemouth vs. Manchester City, Juventus vs. Frosinone, and some extra best bets across both leagues for good measure.

Picks Summary

  • Manchester City -1 (+105)
  • Juventus -1 (-105)

*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City

Saturday, February 24, 2024 – 12:30 PM ET at Vitality Stadium


Bournemouth

The new year hasn’t been kind to Bournemouth, who’s now winless since Boxing Day 2023, and even with lower clashes against fellow bottom-half sides like Nottingham Forest and Fulham, they were unable to claim maximum points and are now just eight points adrift of the dreaded relegation zone.

With three losses and three draws from their last six outings, including 3-1 and 0-4 losses to Liverpool and Bournemouth, don’t expect much from the home side when Manchester City comes knocking because it’ll only end in disappointment should you decide to back a team that’s lost 14 consecutive meetings with the Citizens in domestic action.

Manchester City

Last weekend’s 1-0 win over Brentford was a conservative result for Manchester City, as the blue side of Manchester is usually seen dishing out lopsided drubbings to the opposition. I wouldn’t, however, let this concern for Saturday’s meeting, as Bournemouth have been a breeze for City in the past, allowing 16 goals in their past top-flight meetings with titleholders in their previous four games alone!

As the highest-scoring team in the EPL meets the fourth-worst defensive record in the division this weekend, the result is all but confirmed. Unfortunately, this is represented by the bookmaker’s odds, and we’ll have to think outside of the box to find value in Pep Guardiola and his masterful strike force.

EPL Matchday 26 Prediction, Odds, & Trends

The EPL odds aren’t leaving much to the imagination, but despite what should be a routine victory for Guardiola and co, don’t expect him to go easy when looking for additional points that could prove crucial in May.

It’ll be a simple victory for Manchester City this weekend, and because a two, three, or even four-goal differential could surface in the scoreline, backing a -1 handicap at plus money presents unmissable betting value.

Supporting Trends

  • Manchester City has won 14 straight EPL games versus Bournemouth since 2015
  • Bournemouth lost 6-1 to Man City in the reverse fixture (November, 2023)
  • Man City has netted at least 4 goals against Bournemouth in three successive clashes

Score Prediction: Bournemouth 1 – Manchester City 3

Soccer Pick: Manchester City -1 (+105) at Bet365


Juventus Turin vs. Frosinone Calcio

Sunday, February 25, 2024 – 06:30 AM ET at Allianz Stadium


Juventus

Since the end of January, we’ve watched Juventus surrender the Serie A title chase to Inter Milan with four straight winless domestic outings. Two draws and two losses have now put AC Milan within two points of Juve’s second-place positioning, as victory this weekend has now become vital.

With that said, a struggling Frosinone squad is the perfect bounce-back opponent for Massimiliano Allegri, a team he’s all too familiar with following a 4-0 cup triumph in early January.

Frosinone

Relegation for Frosinone is becoming a real threat after losing 7 of their last 9 Serie A games and three consecutively with an aggregate of 11-3 heading into a tough encounter this weekend.

With 52 goals conceded and just three points from the drop zone, this squad boasts the worst defensive record in Italy and is currently riding the worst stretch of form in over a year.

Serie A Matchday 26 Prediction, Odds, & Trends

The Serie A odds, of course, aren’t giving us much leeway on Juventus’ moneyline, and rightfully so. The Turin giants have never lost a game to Frosinone and, in fact, have won all but one encounter with the basement-dwelling squad.

Much like our Manchester City play, backing the -1 handicap seems like a safe play in this situation, and despite Juve’s troubles of late, finding the net against Frosinone has been a simple task for the weakest of teams this term. We expect the home side to return to winning ways by at least two goals or more.

Supporting Trends

  • Juventus has won all but 1 game versus Frosinone since 2006
  • Frosinone has never defeated Juventus
  • Juventus won their last meeting with Frosinone 4-0

Score Prediction: Juventus 2 – Frosinone 0

Soccer Pick: Juventus -1 (-105) at Bet365 


Extra European Soccer Best Bets

Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC – EPL

Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli – Serie A

  • When: Sunday, February 25 – 09:00 AM ET
  • Best Bet: SSC Napoli ML (-110) at Ceasars Sportsbook

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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