BETTING

European Soccer Best Bets for the Weekend: EPL & Serie A Betting Value

By OddsTrader
Last Update September 23, 2023

We’re back supplementing your betting needs for this weekend’s elite-level soccer fixtures across Europe’s top-flight leagues.

Continue reading our betting previews and soccer odds from the Italian Serie A and the English Premier League fixtures involving Lazio vs. Monza, Arsenal vs. Tottenham, and more.

Top Betting Picks

Lazio ML (-123) at Caesars Sportsbook
Arsenal-Tottenham Hotspur Over 2.5 Goals (-188) at Bet365

Lazio Roma vs. AC Monza

Saturday, September 23, 2023 – 02:45 PM EDT at Stadio Olimpico

Lazio

It’s do or die for Maurizio Sarri’s men, who’ve lost 3 of their 4 Serie A outings this season. Still, fortunately, they have a simpler route to three points this weekend as they’ll face a squad that’s been equally underwhelming in the new Italian campaign.

Lazio entered the weekend with questionable form. Still, if last year’s meetings with Monza are anything to go by, it could be the teams’ first routine victory of the season, as they won both clashes with this club with relative ease.

Monza

Third time lucky for Monza? It isn’t very likely for a team that failed to net a single goal in both meetings with Lazio last term. But if there ever were a time, it would be now; unfortunately, Raffaele Palladino’s unit has endured a painful start to the season, losing two of their four meetings this term alongside one win and one draw.

Neither Monza nor Lazio head into the weekend looking like a team-to-back. Still, squad-for-squad, Sarri’s men are unquestionably the more capable of two, and the reverse fixture later this season could present a much wider set of odds.

Serie A Prediction, Odds, & Trends

The Serie A betting odds are showing excellent value on the home side, and we must capitalize on the downtrend of a team that’s more talented than the betting lines suggest.

The visitor’s road defeats to Inter and Atlanta this term suggests another tough outing away from home, and despite Lazio’s recent woes, there’s no denying they’re the stronger squad.

Score Prediction: Lazio 2 – Monza 0

Soccer Pick: Lazio ML (-123) at Caesars Sportsbook

Arsenal FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC

Sunday, September 24, 2023 – 09:00 AM EDT at Emirates Stadium

Arsenal

The most thrilling London Derby to stem from the capital rarely provides a dull moment, and we don’t expect anything less from Arsenal and their rivals Tottenham on Sunday morning.

Returning from midweek Champions League football with a shutout of PSV Eindhoven, the Gunners switch their focus to a domestic front, having already dispatched Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace, Manchester United, and Everton in league competition thus far.

Returning exactly where they left off last term as title challengers, Mikel Arteta’s troops will be itching to hand their North London counterparts a third straight loss in the head-to-head records, and it’s entirely possible having lost just 5 of their previous 37 league outings.

Tottenham Hotspur

Life without Harry Kane has surprisingly been positive for Tottenham, as they’ll enter Sunday’s derby after a four-game win streak. In addition, Spurs have now scored over 1.5 goals in all five league meetings this term and currently average 2.6 goals per game.

Tottenham may have lost both clashes with Arsenal last season, but when you look at the bigger picture, they’ve avoided defeat in 5 of their last 9 meetings with the Gunners, including three wins and two draws.

EPL Prediction, Odds, & Trends

The EPL moneyline odds slightly favor Arsenal, but London derbies between two of England’s biggest clubs can be somewhat unpredictable. For this reason, we’ll focus on the goals market.

Six of the last eight meetings between these London rivals have produced over 2.5 goals, and Arsenal and Tottenham have scored a combined 12 goals in their previous two games alone.

Clean sheets aren’t common for either side, and we expect this rivalry to produce another thrilling 90 minutes with multiple goals at both ends.