We’ve got three more bets from our computer predictions tonight! I agree with the model for tonight. What about you?
Picks Summary
- Nationals (-125) at Bet365
- Brewers -1.5 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Rangers (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook
Oakland Athletics vs. Washington Nationals
Saturday, August 12, 2023 – 07:05 PM EDT at Nationals Park
Our AI Model believes that the Nationals will earn a 6-4.6 victory over the Athletics in tonight’s ball game. According to our model, Washington is only a -125 favorite but should have a comfortable win.
The Oakland Athletics will pitch Luis Medina for tonight’s matchup. Medina has looked better recently, holding teams to a .107 ISO and wOBA of .286 over the last month. However, he’s allowed a .200 ISO and wOBA of .351 throughout the season, and there are signs he might start to regress to that.
Medina has only struck out 20% of lefties and has allowed 17.1% of walks to lefties. Tonight, he’ll face a Washington lineup that should have six lefties in the lineup.
Washington has struck out under 21% of the time against righties and should be able to get guys on base with walks and line-drive contact.
On the other hand, Washington will pitch Jake Irvin. Irvin has struck out 24.3% of batters and has limited walks to 7.2% over the last month. On the season, Irvin has only struck out 18.3% and has walked nearly 10% of batters. He’s improved dramatically over the last month and will take on an Oakland lineup that has hit a .299 wOBA and struck out 26.4% of the time against righties over the last month.
The Nationals are the much better team. At -125 betting odds, it’s a no-brainer. The AI Model knows.
MLB Pick: Nationals (-125) at Bet365
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago White Sox
Saturday, August 12, 2023 – 07:15 PM EDT at Guaranteed Rate Field
Our AI Model believes the Brewers will win, 5.5-3.4, against the White Sox tonight. Milwaukee is a -160 favorite but has even more value on the run line.
The Brewers are ready for a significant playoff push with Brandon Woodruff back. Woodruff has a 1.65 ERA on the season and has struck out 50% of batters since returning. He’ll take on a White Sox lineup that has only hit a .138 ISO and has struck out nearly 23% of the time.
Chicago has six batters striking out at least 25% of the time against righties. Woodruff should have a field day against this White Sox team.
On the other hand, Chicago will pitch Jesse Scholtens. He’s got an ERA of 3.06 but has watched his last 35 righties faced hit a .257 ISO and wOBA of .409.
The Brewers have a balanced lineup and multiple righties that have hit an above-average wOBA against righties over the last month. Milwaukee has hit a .183 ISO and wOBA of .354 with their projected lineup over the last 30 days against righties. They’ve also walked nearly 11% of the time while limiting strikeouts to under 20%.
The Brewers look much better on paper than the White Sox.
MLB Pick: Brewers -1.5 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
Texas Rangers vs. San Francisco Giants
Saturday, August 12, 2023 – 09:05 PM EDT at Oracle Park
The AI Model suggests that the Rangers will earn a 4.3-4 upset over the Giants on the road tonight. The Rangers are listed at +105 but are expected to win tonight’s game against the Giants.
The Rangers are turning to Andrew Heaney tonight. Heaney is a left-hander struggling against lefties. But he’s dominated righties, holding teams to a .062 ISO and wOBA of .226 over the last month. The Giants should have at least eight righties in the lineup tonight. If Heaney doesn’t have to face lefties, he’ll be fine. He’s struck out 27.4% of righties over the last 30 days and has limited walks to 4.8%.
Plus, the Giants are hitting a .086 ISO and wOBA of .241 with 23.5% of strikeouts against lefties over the last 30 days with that projected lineup.
Meanwhile, Alex Cobb will get the start for the Giants. He’s struck out only 18.4% of batters this season and has allowed a .291 ISO and wOBA of .376 against his last 114 batters. Cobb can earn a high amount of grounders and keep fly balls down. But his walks get high against lefties, and he’s allowed nearly 30% of line drives over the last month. With their projected lineup, the Rangers have hit a .258 ISO and wOBA of .381 against righties over the last month.
This offense is way more powerful and consistent in comparison to San Francisco. The Rangers are simply the better team. The AI Model is right on point. Take the Rangers to earn the minor upset on the road.
MLB Pick: Rangers (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook
