The computer predictions continue to grow the bankroll. Here are three more AI Model bets to consider for tonight’s MLB slate.
Picks Summary
- Mariners-Royals Over 9 (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Padres (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Brewers-Dodgers Over 9 (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals
Tuesday, August 15, 2023 – 08:10 PM EDT at Kauffman Stadium
Our AI Model believes the Mariners will earn a 5.9-4.6 victory over the Royals tonight. With the total sitting at 9, there’s value on the Over per our AI Model.
Emerson Hancock will get the start for the Mariners. He’s a right-handed pitcher who was just called up for the Mariners last week. He’s struck out 15% of batters but has an ISO of .000 and a wOBA of .192. That won’t last at all.
The Royals have hit a .306 ISO and wOBA of .423 against righties over the last month. They’re led by Bobby Witt Jr. and Michael Massey, who have both slugged against righties recently.
Meanwhile, the Royals will pitch Jordan Lyles, one of the worst pitchers in the MLB this season. This season, Lyles has allowed a .226 ISO and wOBA of .340 against 535 batters. That’s a considerable sample size and some abysmal numbers.
Seattle has also hit an above-average rate against righties in the last month. The projected lineup has a .217 ISO and wOBA of .338 against righties in that span. The Mariners have struck out nearly 27% of the time against righties in the last 30 days, but Lyles has struck out 15.6% of batters in that span.
Both teams will have no problems putting up runs on the scoreboard, especially with both bullpens struggling recently. Take the Over. I agree with the Model.
MLB Pick: Over 9 (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook
Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres
Tuesday, August 15, 2023 – 09:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
Our AI Model believes the Padres will earn a 4.3-3.3 win over the Orioles tonight. The Padres are just -130 and expected to win by an entire run.
Jack Flaherty will get the call for another start with the Orioles. Flaherty has dominated against righties but has struggled against lefties. Lefties have hit a .389 ISO and wOBA of .454 against Flaherty over the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, Juan Soto, a lefty on the Padres, has hit a .319 ISO and wOBA of .382 against righties over the last month. Jake Cronenworth is also another lefty that can do severe damage to Flaherty.
On the other hand, Michael Wacha will return to the mound. He had allowed a .152 ISO and wOBA of .282 to 344 batters this season before landing on the injured list. He’s a veteran pitcher that can probably still get to 90+ pitches tonight.
The Orioles lineup has hit a .171 ISO and wOBA of .294 against righties over the last 30 days. That’s not even close to what the Padres are doing against righties. Let’s rock with the Padres on the moneyline. The AI Model knows.
MLB Pick: Padres (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tuesday, August 15, 2023 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
The AI Model suggests that the Dodgers will earn a 6-4.5 win over the Brewers tonight. The total is at 9, with the under juiced to -115. There’s value in the Over. Not the Under.
It’s almost impossible trying to beat this Dodgers lineup right now. Using their projected lineup, the Dodgers have hit a .220 ISO and wOBA of .383 against righties over the last 30 days. Only David Peralta has struggled to hit righties over the last month, but he’s struck out just 15.3% of the time.
It’ll be Adrian Houser on the hill for the Brewers. Houser has allowed a .340 wOBA and has only struck out 17.9% of batters throughout the season. The Dodgers have struck out just 17.5% of the time against righties. The Dodgers will put some loud contact in play against Houser.
On the other hand, Bobby Miller will get the call for the Dodgers. He’s a rookie pitcher that has allowed a .426 wOBA to his last 46 righties. He’s also struck out just 22.2% of batters in the last month and has allowed a .160 ISO to his last 108 batters.
The Brewers have done well limiting strikeouts and still have six batters hitting a wOBA of at least .320 against righties. I like the Dodgers’ lineup more. But the Brewers will contribute to the total too. Let’s stick with the AI Model here and take the Over 9 at -105 betting odds.
MLB Pick: Over 9 (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook
