We’ve got a massive slate in the MLB today! Therefore, I went straight to the AI Model and looked for the top three bets for tonight’s slate. Let’s close out the weekend with some profit at top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary:
- Chris Paddack Under 4.5 Ks (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130) at Bet365
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
Sunday, June 01, 2025 – 04:10 PM EDT at Petco Park
The AI Model expects Chris Paddack to earn only 3.9 strikeouts tonight against the Mariners. However, the Minnesota starter has a prop line of 4.5 with the under at +105. That’s some really good value!
Paddack’s Strikeouts Keep Dipping
Chris Paddack has been phenomenal for the Minnesota Twins over the last month. He’s allowed a .065 ISO and wOBA of .238 and has walked just 4.3% of batters during that stretch.
Still, he’s added just 15.7% of strikeouts over the last 30 days. His strikeout numbers have dipped this month, despite Paddack having some real success with balls in play.
While the Mariners have a lot of strikeout candidates, it’s hard to rely on Paddack to tally at least five strikeouts when her’s averaged below 16% of strikeouts in the last 30 days.
Think about it: He’s pitching well and still can’t get strikeouts. When he’s at his best, he still isn’t fooling hitters and adding strikeouts.
The Pick
Grab the Under 4.5 strikeouts for Paddack.
MLB Pick: Chris Paddack Under 4.5 Ks (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
Sunday, June 01, 2025 – 05:10 PM EDT at Petco Park
The AI Model believes Luis Arraez will record .847 total bases today for the Padres. However, his prop is currently at 1.5 total bases with the under at -130. There’s value in fading Arraez today.
Luis Arraez Has Struggled Against Lefties!
Luis Arraez might be a hitting champion. But he’s only added a .000 ISO and wOBA of .148 against his last 24 lefties. Arraez isn’t a strikeout candidate. As a matter of fact, he’s struck out no times during this slump against lefties.
Still, he’ll face Andrew Heaney, who has earned nearly 44% of ground balls against lefties over the last 30 days. Heaney has also given up only 21.7% of line drives. He’s not allowing good contact to lefties as a left-handed pitcher.
That should keep Arraez off the basepaths.
After all, Arraez has added no hard contact and hasn’t hit a single ball with the barrel against lefties over the last 30 days. That’s resulted in a .167 BABIP in the previous 30 days against lefties.
The Pick
I’m rocking with the AI Model and taking Arraez to add under 1.5 total bases.
MLB Pick: Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Sunday, June 01, 2025 – 07:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Yoshinobu Yamamoto will allow only 3.4 hits against the New York Yankees tonight. That said, his hits allowed prop is stuck at 4.5, with the under at just -125. This is another insanely valuable play for tonight.
Yamamoto Is Ready For The Sweep!
The New York Yankees have lost two consecutive games to the Los Angeles Dodgers on the road.
Tonight, they’re underdogs and are expected to get swept in this interleague series.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto will get the start for the Dodgers. He’s struck out 31.3% of batters this season and has limited opponents to a .112 ISO and wOBA of .238.
He’s even gained 57.4% of ground balls and hasn’t allowed many fly balls and line drives.
Meanwhile, the Yankees’ projected lineup has struck out nearly 22% of the time against righties. The lineup also has four batters who have hit a .292 wOBA or worse against righties in the last month.
New York doesn’t have a deep lineup, and that will hurt them when it comes to adding base hits against Yamamoto.
The Pick
Let’s back Yamamoto to allow below 4.5 hits tonight.
MLB Pick: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
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