With a full slate of games in the MLB tonight, I’ve added three elite player props that the AI Model loves. Take a look below and consider tailing the red-hot model to begin the weekend.
The Picks
- Steven Kwan Under .5 Runs (-125)
- Clayton Kershaw Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-112)
- Willy Adames Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics
Friday, June 20, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
Our AI Model thinks Steven Kwan will add .235 runs in tonight’s game for the Guardians. Yet, his prop is at .5, with the under at -125 odds. This is a steal according to the AI Model.
Kwan Is Only Making Weak Contact!
Steven Kwan is set to battle Jeffrey Springs in tonight’s game against the Athletics. Kwan has just a .071 ISO and wOBA of .256 against his last 34 lefties as a left-handed hitter. Meanwhile, he’ll take on Springs, who has limited lefties to a .131 ISO this season.
Springs hasn’t added a high rate of strikeouts and hasn’t earned very many ground balls either against lefties.
Still, Kwan has hit just 21.4% of hard contact against lefties over the last 30 days. He’s also hit only 17.9% of line drives and has a .179 BABIP against lefties during the previous month. Springs should be fine against Kwan, who can’t seem to put together good at-bats against lefties right now.
If Kwan can’t get on base, he certainly won’t score a run. Let’s ride with Kwan to earn below .5 runs in tonight’s game against the A’s.
MLB Pick: Steven Kwan Under .5 Runs (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Friday, June 20, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
The AI Model believes Clayton Kershaw will earn 3.5 strikeouts tonight. Yet, his prop is at 4.5, with the under at just -112. Kershaw has had an up-and-down start to the season but isn’t pitching nearly as consistently as in previous seasons.
Kershaw’s Strikeout Numbers Don’t Look Good!
Clayton Kershaw is one of the best pitchers of this generation. However, he’s only struck out 18.9% of his last 95 batters and doesn’t look like his old self anymore.
He’s set to face a Nationals lineup that only has three batters who have struck out more than 20.7% of the time. With only three targets, it’s hard to imagine Kershaw adding a high rate of strikeouts in tonight’s game.
In fact, Kershaw has struck out only 17.4% of batters this season and has also allowed a .154 ISO and wOBA of .315. None of these numbers stand out in a good way.
Consider taking Kershaw to add below 4.5 strikeouts in tonight’s game against the Nationals.
MLB Pick: Clayton Kershaw Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-112) at Caesars Sportsbook
Boston Red Sox vs. San Francisco Giants
Friday, June 20, 2025 – 10:15 PM EDT at Oracle Park
Our AI Model predicts Willy Adames will earn .483 total bases in tonight’s game against the Red Sox. However, his prop is stuck at 1.5, with the under at only -185. There’s a ton of value in fading Adames tonight against the Red Sox.
Adames Is Still Struggling!
Willy Adames has hit just a .066 ISO and wOBA of .260 with 29.2% of strikeouts against righties over the last 30 days.
The right-handed slugger will face Hunter Dobbins, who has limited righties to a .136 ISO and wOBA of .293 throughout the season.
Dobbins has issued 47.7% of ground balls and only 22.1% of fly balls. His strikeout rate isn’t super high, but even against Adames, a strikeout isn’t out of the question.
In addition, Adames has hit 56.1% of ground balls and just 12.2% of line drives against righties over the last month. Don’t rely on Adames tonight. Fade him instead.
Take Adames to add under 1.5 total bases tonight.
MLB Pick: Willy Adames Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
