It’s been a fun ride with the AI Model this year in the MLB. Let’s hope the ride continues with tonight’s three best bets using the model at the top-rated sportsbooks.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Padres vs. Giants and Twins vs. Athletics games!
Picks Summary:
- Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Total Bases (-145)
- Royce Lewis Under .5 Hits (+135)
- Jeff McNeil Under .5 Hits (+135)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
Wednesday, June 04, 2025 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
The AI Model thinks Luis Arraez will add just .845 total bases. However, his prop total is stuck at 1.5, with the Under at -145. There’s value in the Under for Arraez tonight.
Arraez Might Not Win Any Title This Year
Luis Arraez has won multiple batting titles in different leagues in the MLB. However, he’s struggled a little more this year. Arraez has hit a .050 ISO and wOBA of .179 against his last 22 lefties as a left-handed batter.
He hasn’t struck out or walked against a lefty in the last 30 days. However, he’s also hitting a .182 BABIP with only 4.5% of hard contact and a 0% barrel percentage. Arraez has hit just 18.2% of fly balls against lefties over the last month.
Tonight, he’ll take on Kyle Harrison of the Giants. Harrison has limited his first 18 lefties to a .233 wOBA. He’s also added close to 28% of strikeouts and hasn’t walked a single lefty this year. Most of all, Harrison has kept line drives to 23.1% against lefties. That will be critical against Arraez.
The Pick
Side with the AI Model and take Arraez to add below 1.5 total bases.
MLB Pick: Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Total Bases (-145) at Caesars Sportsbook
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics
Wednesday, June 4, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
The AI Model believes Royce Lewis will add .523 hits. Although his hits prop is at .5, the Under is up to +135. Therefore, there’s still value in Lewis to go Under .5 hits tonight with the Twins.
Lewis Hasn’t Hit Lefties!
The Twins will battle Sean Newcomb of the Athletics. He’s a lefty pitcher who has limited his last 65 righties to a .133 ISO and 49% of ground balls. He’ll battle a Twins team that really only has three batters hitting lefties consistently. Royce Lewis is certainly not one of them.
Lewis has added a .000 ISO and wOBA of .186 against his last 17 lefties. He’s also struck out 23.5% of the time and has a .182 BABIP in that time frame. Ultimately, Lewis has hit only 9.1% of line drives against lefties and a 0% barrel percentage. He’s also hit nearly 46% of grounders against lefties over the last month.
The Pick
Let’s fade Lewis against Newcomb and the Athletics.
MLB Pick: Royce Lewis Under .5 Hits (+135) at Caesars Sportsbook
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Wednesday, June 04, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Jeff McNeil will add only .614 hits. His hit prop is also at .5, but the Under is juiced to +135. Again, there’s some plus-money value on the board in the MLB. Let’s grab it.
Can Jeff McNeil Figure It Out Against Righties?
Jeff McNeil has hit a .229 ISO and wOBA of .334 against his last 58 righties. He’s rarely struck out but has walked 15.5% of the time against righties in the previous month.
Despite those numbers, he’s added a .195 BABIP and has hit a barrel percentage of just 4.7%. He’s not hitting the sweetspot, which is why he’s struggled against righties.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle Tony Gonsolin, who doesn’t have good numbers against either side of the plate. However, he still managed to limit lefties to 43.2% of ground balls and 22.7% of fly balls over the last month. Gonsolin has also walked lefties 15.6% of the time, so don’t be surprised if McNeil gets on base with a walk or two.
The Pick
Gonsolin has walked lefties more, but has also given up worse contact to righties. That’s a good indication that McNeil likely won’t add a base hit against Gonsolin in this game.
MLB Pick: Jeff McNeil Under .5 Hits (+135) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
