The AI Model continues to predict winners. It’s added a crazy prediction for one of tonight’s games. Will you follow along with our MLB computer picks for June 12?
Picks Summary
- Diamondbacks (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Rockies-Red Sox Over 10 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Giants (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, June 12, 2023 – 09:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Gone Bonkers!
Our AI Model has gone bonkers today. The Diamondbacks are winning tonight’s game 9.2-3.9 against the Phillies. This is the most significant edge we’ve seen with the AI Model recently.
Matt Strahm will get the start for the Phillies. He had been pushed to the bullpen after a solid start to the season as a starter. But since his move to the bullpen, Stram has been shaky. He’s a left-handed pitcher, allowing an ISO of .233 and wOBA of .332 to his last 34 righties.
Struggling Rights
Strahm will earn high strikeouts, but he’s been earning fewer strikeouts against righties. Arizona will have at least seven righties in tonight’s lineup against Strahm, which will hurt his full potential.
Meanwhile, Tommy Henry will get the call for Arizona. He’s not going to get a high rate of strikeouts. However, he’s limited line drives to 22.7% throughout the last 30 days and has earned over 44% of ground balls.
He’s struggled more against lefties in the last month but will only have to take on three lefties in tonight’s order.
The Pick
Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Bryson Stott might do damage, but plenty more Arizona Diamondbacks players can do even more damage tonight.
I agree; take the Diamondbacks in tonight’s game.
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
Monday, June 12, 2023 – 07:10 PM EDT at Fenway Park
One Run Cushion
Our AI Model predicts the Boston Red Sox and Colorado Rockies combining for 11.2 runs in tonight’s game. That’s more than one run from the actual total of 10.
This game isn’t in Colorado. But a high number still makes sense for the total. Connor Seabold will get the start for the Rockies. He’s a righty that struggles to earn strikeouts and continues to allow righties to hit at a high rate.
Seabold or Seabiscuit?
Righties have smacked a .205 ISO and wOBA of .371 over the last month against Seabold. Lefties have also hit a .164 ISO, so there’s potential for lefties too.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox have been inconsistent offensively. But they’ve got five guys hitting at least a .309 wOBA against righties. Plus, a matchup against Seabold usually helps offenses get back on track.
Expect Extra Base Hits Against Paxton
Meanwhile, James Paxton will get the call for the Red Sox. He’s a lefty who has struggled more against lefties.
Against 23 lefties this season, Paxton has allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .447. You’d think more teams would try and bat more lefties. The Rockies should have two lefties in the lineup between power hitters like Ryan McMahon and Nolan Jones.
The Pick
But Paxton has also struggled against righties, earning only 25% of grounders and giving up 29.2% of line drives. The righties in the Colorado lineup should have success too.
I agree with the Over tonight.
MLB Pick: Over 10 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Monday, June 12, 2023 – 07:45 PM EDT at Busch Field
Home Dogs
The AI Model suggests that the Giants will be the Cardinals, 4.4-3.7 on the road, as slight favorites in the MLB odds for this matchup.
The Giants should always be favorites when Logan Webb is on the mound. Webb has struck out 23.8% of batters while limiting walks to 7.1% in the last month.
He’s also kept teams to a .104 ISO and wOBA of .257 with 57.6% of ground balls and just 14.1% of fly balls.
Better But…
St. Louis has hit the ball better recently, but they’ll struggle against one of the top-performing pitchers in baseball this year.
On the other hand, Matthew Liberatore will get the start for the Cardinals. He’s been nothing like Webb, allowing a .342 wOBA with just 15.5% of strikeouts over the last month.
The Giants are hitting a .220 ISO and wOBA of .394 as a projected lineup against lefties and should earn plenty of base hits and RBIs against the rookie pitcher.
The Pick
After all, Liberatore has allowed a .375 wOBA against righties in the last month. He’s also given up 33.3% of line drives and continues to struggle to earn strikeouts against both sides of the plate.
MLB Pick: Giants (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
