There’s nothing like watching a full slate of games on a Saturday in the MLB! I used the AI Model to find the best value on the betting board tonight. Take a look below and tail along if you’d like! The AI Model has been hot!
The Picks
- Roki Sasaki Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-113) at Bet365
- Dylan Carlson Under 0.5 Hits (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Jack Flaherty Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Saturday, May 3, 2025 – 7:15 PM EDT at Truist Park
The AI Model projects Roki Sasaki will only allow three hits tonight against the Braves. Yet, his prop is stuck at 4.5, with the under at -113. That’s a massive play.
Sasaki Will Be Fine!
Roki Sasaki hasn’t added a high rate of strikeouts. He’s also walked more than 13% of batters this season. However, he’s still limited his first 96 batters to a .122 ISO and wOBA of .300.
When he allows base runners, it’s typically because of walks. Not because of hits.
Sasaki has limited all 96 batters to 23.1% of line drives and has induced more than 43% of ground balls. Meanwhile, he’ll battle a Braves lineup that has hit a .189 ISO over the last 30 days against right-handed pitching.
Marcell Ozuna, Matt Olson, Sean Murphy, and Eli White have hit well against righties, but the majority of the lineup has weak numbers against righties. That should help Sasaki limit damage and hold the Braves in the hit column.
I’m siding with the AI Model here and taking Sasaki to allow no more than four hits in tonight’s game.
MLB Pick: Roki Sasaki Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-113) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Saturday, May 3, 2025 – 7:15 PM EDT at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
The AI Model likes Dylan Carlson to earn just .247 hits in tonight’s ball game. However, the speedster has a consensus line of .5 hits, with the under at +108. I love plus-money value plays.
Dylan Carlson Hasn’t Had Any Success Against Lefties
Dylan Carlson is a switch-hitting outfielder who has struggled against lefties since last season. Last year, Carlson hit a .081 ISO and wOBA of .278 against his last 116 lefties. This year, he’s faced a limited number of lefties, but still has a .000 ISO and wOBa of .000 with 33.3% of strikeouts.
Ultimately, he’ll take on Kris Bubic of the Royals, who has held his first 110 righties to a .087 ISO and wOBA of .261. Bubic has also added 26.4% of strikeouts against righties and has allowed below 15% of fly balls to righties.
When combining this year and last, Carlson has hit just 20.5% of line drives against lefties and earned below 30% of hard contact against lefties. He’s one of two batters in the projected lineup for the Orioles with a hard contact rate below 30% against lefties since last year.
Grab Carlson to go under .5 hits tonight.
MLB Pick: Dylan Carlson Under 0.5 Hits (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Saturday, May 3, 2025 – 9:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Jack Flaherty will add 5.35 strikeouts against the Los Angeles Angels tonight. However, his current line is at 6.5, with the under at +115. Here’s another plus-money bet to consider.
Can Jack Flaherty Sustain Success?
The Detroit Tigers will send out right-hander Jack Flaherty. He’s struck out 28.8% of batters this season, but has also allowed a .185 ISo with only 41.5% of ground balls and 32.9% of fly balls.
While the Angels strike out at a high rate, Los Angeles has also hit a .192 ISO against right-handed pitching using their projected lineup.
The Angels are typically aggressive at the plate and rarely walk against righties. With so many swings, you’d like to hope the Tigers can put the ball in play and limit the strikeouts against Flaherty.
Roll with Flaherty to go under 6.5 strikeouts in tonight’s game with the Tigers.
MLB Pick: Jack Flaherty Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
