With a full slate of games on the horizon, many underdogs should earn wins tonight. I used the AI Model to find some underdog value for tonight’s baseball slate.
The Picks
- Brewers ML (-103)
- Astros ML (-108)
- Athletics ML (+146)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Saturday, May 24, 2025 – 4:05 PM EDT at PNC Park
The AI Model likes the Brewers to earn a 4.9-3.8 win over the Pirates tonight. However, the Brewers are only -103 on the moneyline and have a lower probability than the Pirates on the road. The Brew Crew is the play in this game.
The Pirates Have Looked Terrible Against Righties!
The Brewers will pitch Quinn Priester for today’s game against the Brewers. He hasn’t been good, giving up a .211 ISO and wOBA of .347 over the last 30 days. However, he’s facing a Pirates lineup that has hit a .062 ISO and wOBA of .271 against righties in the same time period.
The Pirates have become one of the worst offenses in the MLB. Priester should benefit. After all, he’s still added 54.1% of ground balls this season and has limited line drives to below 20%.
On the other hand, Mitch Keller will take the mound for the Pirates. He’s a righty who has allowed a .237 ISO and wOBA of .403 to his last 64 lefties. There should be four or five lefties in the Brewers’ lineup. Plus, Milwaukee has struck out below 20% of the time against righties over the last 30 days.
The Brewers are a play according to our AI Model.
MLB Pick: Brewers ML (-103) at Bet365
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
Saturday, May 24, 2025 – 4:10 PM EDT at Daikin Park
Our AI Model has the Astros adding a 4.2-3.9 victory over the Mariners. Yet, the Astros are only -108 and are slightly underdogs at home. This is a good spot for the Astros in an exciting divisional matchup.
You Can Never Go Wrong Backing Framber!
The Houston Astros have elected to pitch Framber Valdez today. The left-hander has held his last 134 batters to a .098 ISO and wOBA of .248. He’s also added 62% of ground balls and has earned close to 25% of strikeouts.
Meanwhile, the Mariners have hit a .141 ISO and wOBA of .338 with close to 24% of strikeouts against lefties over the last 30 days with their projected lineup. That’s not ideal against one of the best lefties in the game.
Conversely, Bryan Woo will get the call for the Mariners. He’s been electric, too. However, he’ll take on an Astros team with six batters with a .333 wOBA or better against righties over the last 30 days. The Astros have also struck out just 15.2% of the time against righties using this projected lineup over the previous month.
It’s way more likely the Astros create some traffic and havoc on the basepaths. Ride the Astros at -108 MLB odds.
MLB Pick: Astros ML (-108) at Bet365
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Athletics
Saturday, May 24, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
The AI Model believes the Athletics and Phillies will tie at 4.3. Clearly, the value is on the Athletics, who are +146 on the moneyline tonight.
Can Jeffrey Springs Hold It Together?
The Athletics will send out left-hander Jeffrey Springs tonight. He’s struck out only 18.2% of batters this season. However, he’s still held his first 225 batters to a .300 wOBA with only 9.3% of walks.
Springs will battle a Phillies lineup that has only hit a .179 ISO against lefties over the last month. The projected lineup also has four batters with a wOBA of no better than .305. Springs has potential tonight.
On the other hand, Cristopher Sanchez will get the call for the Phillies. He’s also a lefty who has performed better than Springs this season. However, the Athletics have five batters who have hit a wOBA of at least .400 against lefties over the last month.
The Athletics should give better at-bats in this game. Consider the Athletics at +146.
MLB Pick: Athletics ML (+146) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
