We’ve got a loaded slate in the NBA tonight! Here are three NBA bets that our computers like!
Picks Summary
- Blazers vs. Hornets Over 212 (-110) at Bet365
- Nets +7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Pelicans -4 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Charlotte Hornets
Wednesday, April 03, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center
Our AI Model likes the Hornets to add a 108-107 victory over Portland. That’s only 215 points, but Bet365 has the total currently at 212. Therefore, the Over has plenty of value for tonight.
I know what you’re thinking. The Portland Trail Blazers have been pathetic on the offensive end over the last five games. However, so has their defense.
The Charlotte Hornets have had two games in their last four where they’ve scored at least 125.5 points per 100 possessions. They’re good at keeping turnovers down on the offensive end and should be able to add a solid portion of second chances on the glass against the Blazers.
On the other hand, the Hornets have allowed at least 115 points in three consecutive games. The defense has allowed an effective field goal percentage of at least 61% in six of the last seven games.
These are NBA players on the court. If neither team wants to play high-level defense, you can expect both teams to score at a high rate.
Take the Over 212 at -110 betting odds and listen to the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Over 212 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Indiana Pacers vs. Brooklyn Nets
Wednesday, April 03, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at Barclays Center
The AI Model suggests the Nets will only lose by six points to the Pacers tonight. With Bet365 holding a +7 for the Nets, Brooklyn is looking like the play in this game.
The Nets are a hard team to figure out. The roster looks better than how the season has played out. Brooklyn is currently looking for their 30th win of the season, and the year is almost over. That said, the Nets are doing a good job at keeping turnovers down. They’re just not getting good looks from the floor. It’s hard for the Nets to get second chances on the offensive glass, and the team isn’t getting to the foul line much.
However, many teams don’t see the foul line at a high rate against the Nets either. Brooklyn is also very good at keeping teams off the glass. Take away that earlier Pacers game. The Nets have held teams to 21.6% offensive rebounds in four of their last five games. The Pacers did them dirty on Monday, but the Nets should make adjustments and keep the glass clean this time around.
On the other hand, the Pacers played outstanding against the Nets on Monday. There weren’t many blemishes, except for the fact that the Pacers didn’t get to the foul line much and allowed 26.8% offensive rebounds.
The Pacers shot lights out at home, but now they’re on the road facing the same team. Don’t expect the same result. The Pacers have had their fair share of bad performances defensively and that’s more of what I expect tonight.
Take the Nets at +7. They’ll at least stick around in this game.
NBA Pick: Nets +7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Wednesday, April 03, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center
The AI Model has the Pelicans earning a six-point victory over the Magic at home. However, Caesars only has the Pelicans at -4. Taking the home favorite is the way to go in this one.
The Orlando Magic have been dominant defensively, but the offense hasn’t been anywhere close to that dominant level.
Orlando has scored no more than 104 points in three of their last four games. The Magic have also turned the ball over at least 16% of the time in three consecutive games. Beyond that, the Magic aren’t active on the offensive glass and typically aren’t getting to the foul line a lot, despite what’s happened in the last two games.
But while the offense has struggled, the defense has really kept them in games. The Magic have held teams to at least 112.8 points per 100 possessions or fewer in 11 consecutive games. They’ve had three instances where they’ve allowed fewer than 100 points per 100 possessions, which is astounding.
Orlando has limited teams from the field and continues to earn a high rate of turnovers. The Magic are also limiting teams on the offensive glass and it’s hard to get to the foul line against them at a consistent rate.
However, the Pelicans will make sure to keep turnovers down. They’ve allowed no more than 10.3% of turnovers in five straight games. Don’t expect many offensive rebounds from the Pelicans, but the expectation is New Orleans still wins the foul-shooting battle.
Lately, the Pelicans have been weak from the field. But this will be their fifth consecutive game at home. You’d like to think they’ll be above average from the field with being home all this time.
Therefore, I’m siding with the AI Model and backing the Pelicans at -4.
NBA Pick: Pelicans -4 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
