We’ve got seven games on tonight’s NBA slate! Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets of the night. Here’s what it came up with for December 6, as always with the best NBA odds available at top sportsbooks.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice, featuring today’s Magic vs. 76ers and Pacers vs. Bulls games!
Picks Summary
- Bulls +3.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Warriors ML (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Jazz +2.5 (-110) at Bet365
Indiana Pacers vs. Chicago Bulls
Friday, December 06, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at United Center
The AI Model thinks the Pacers will add a 125-122 win over the Bulls tonight. However, the Bulls are 3.5-point underdogs. That would be enough to cover against the spread. Take the Bulls here.
No Second Chances For Indiana
The Indiana Pacers might get some good looks up. However, for one, they’re on the road against the Bulls. Secondly, if the Pacers have an off-night, they’ll struggle to get offensive rebounds and second chances.
After all, the Pacers earned 23.6% of offensive rebounds, while the Bulls allowed 25.5% of offensive rebounds on defense.
It’s also unlikely the Pacers will dominate at the foul line. The Pacers have a below-average rate of getting to the line, while the Bulls have an above-average rate of limiting teams from the foul line.
Don’t Underrate Chicago
The Bulls don’t get enough credit on offense. The team has shot an effective field goal percentage of 57.6% and has scored 115.1 points per 100 possessions.
The Bulls ultimately rank 4th in the NBA in effective field goal percentage and the Pacers rank 28th. Beyond that, the Pacers have allowed way more foul shots per game and more offensive rebounds.
The Bulls should be able to take advantage of this. I’ll side with the Bulls at +3.5. Even the AI Model knows this team can win outright tonight.
NBA Pick: Bulls +3.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
Friday, December 06, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center
Our AI Model believes the Warriors will sneak by the Timberwolves, 111-110, at home. The model still thinks the Warriors have value, with the Warriors at -115 on the moneyline.
The Warriors Are Deep!
The Golden State Warriors defeated the Houston Rockets, 99-93, without Draymond Green and Steph Curry. It just goes to show you how deep this team is.
The defense is admirable. Ultimately, the Warriors have held opponents to 107.9 points per 100 possessions and have allowed an effective field goal percentage of 50.9%. The Warriors are also very good on the defensive glass, allowing just 26.3% of offensive rebounds per game.
It’s also likely the Warriors will have some turnovers, with the Timberwolves giving up 15.9% of turnovers per game.
The Warriors Match Up Better
While Minnesota is also an elite defense, they’ve still allowed 109.7 points per 100 possessions. That’s slightly worse than the Warriors on defense.
The oddsmakers know this game will be close. But with Golden State at home, it’s more likely the Warriors pull this game out, even if they play without Steph Curry.
Although, it’s probably more likely that Curry will play in this game. Take the Warriors on the moneyline.
NBA Pick: Warriors ML (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Friday, December 06, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center
The AI Model suggests Utah will only lose to Portland, 114-113. That’s significant, especially since Utah is a 2.5-point underdog in tonight’s game at Bet365. The Jazz are the way to go.
The Jazz Just Need To Do The Little Things
The Utah Jazz aren’t scoring at a high rate. They’re also not shooting a high effective field goal percentage and turning the ball over at a high rate.
That said, Utah has also added 32% of offensive rebounds and earned a 21.7 free throw rate, which is the third-best in the NBA.
The Blazers rank 30th in defensive rebounding and 26th in defensive free throw rate. If the Jazz take advantage of those two areas, they’ll be in this game with a chance to win outright.
Can Portland Find More Offense?
The Blazers have only scored 108 points per 100 possessions. They’re even worse than the Jazz in scoring basketball.
Additionally, the Blazers have shot a 50.8% effective field goal percentage and turned the ball over at a high rate of 17.2%.
Portland might succeed on the glass but won’t get to the foul line nearly as much as the Jazz. I’m with the AI Model and will back the Jazz at +2.5.
NBA Pick: Jazz +2.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
