We’ve got a seven-game slate in the NBA tonight. Ultimately, only six are at night. Therefore, I looked at the six matchups and asked the AI Model for its best bets. Here’s what it came up with for December 7, with the best NBA odds available.
Picks Summary
- Knicks -9.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Grizzlies +6.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Suns ML (+180) at Caesars Sportsbook
Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks
Saturday, December 07, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden
The AI Model thinks the Knicks will dominate the Pistons with a 119-105 victory. The Knicks are only -9.5. Therefore, backing the Knicks against the spread is certainly the best bet in this game.
It’s Not Looking Good For Detroit
The Detroit Pistons have only scored 111.5 points per 100 possessions and have added just a 53.9% effective field goal percentage. The even worse stats are the turnover percentage and free throw rate. The Pistons rank 27th in turnovers and 24th in free throw rate.
These are areas where the Knicks can take advantage on the defensive end.
The Best Rated Offense In The NBA
The Knicks have the best offense in the NBA. That’s why it’s unlikely the Pistons can keep up. New York has scored 124.5 points per 100 possessions. They’ve also limited turnovers to 12.4% and have shot a 58.7% effective field goal percentage.
New York might not get to the foul line as consistently, but the Pistons also won’t see the foul line at such a high rate. It’s a moot point.
Tail the Knicks at -9.5. You won’t be disappointed with the AI Model after this one.
NBA Pick: Knicks -9.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics
Saturday, December 07, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at TD Garden
Our AI Model believes the Grizzlies will keep things close against the Celtics and only lose by four. Memphis is currently a 6.5-point underdog on the road at Bet365. That’s the play.
How Good Is Memphis’ Offense?
To begin this year, the Memphis Grizzlies have had several injuries. However, no matter who is out there, the Grizzlies have found a way on offense.
Memphis has scored 117.7 points per 100 possessions and has added a 56% effective field goal percentage. There’s even a chance that Memphis can limit turnovers more in tonight’s game, with the Celtics adding only 13.8% of turnovers on defense.
Don’t be surprised if the Grizzlies stick around with some hot shot-making.
It Won’t Be Easy For Boston
The Celtics truly have one of the best offenses in the NBA. However, they’re facing a Grizzlies defense that has held opponents to 109.2 points per 100 possessions.
The Grizzlies rank 4th in defensive effective field goal percentage and 9th in turnover percentage on defense. These metrics have helped the Grizzlies stick around in most games. That shouldn’t change in tonight’s game.
Let’s ride with the Grizzlies at +6.5 per the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +6.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Phoenix Suns vs. Miami Heat
Saturday, December 07, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center
The AI Model suggests the Suns will knock off the Miami Heat, 112-111. However, the Suns are 6-point underdogs on the road. Consider the Suns at +180 on the moneyline tonight.
Phoenix Will Be Fine
The Phoenix Suns won’t have Kevin Durant or Jusuf Nurkic. However, the offense has still added 114.4 points per 100 possessions and has added a 56% effective field goal percentage.
Behind Bradley Beal and Devin Booker, the Suns should be fine offensively. Don’t expect a bunch of offensive rebounds. However, you can expect some solid shot-making, with the Heat allowing a 54.7% effective field goal percentage per game.
Can The Suns Still Rebound Well?
The Suns have allowed 25.1% of offensive rebounds per game on defense. That could take a hit without Nurkic being available. Still, the Suns are likely disciplined enough on the defensive glass to keep the Heat from adding a high percentage of second chances.
In addition, the Heat have shot an effective field goal percentage of 53.4%. That’s 20th in the NBA. If the Heat miss shots and can’t get second chances, it’ll be hard for Miami to win this game outright at home.
Let’s roll with the Suns at +180. It’s worth a shot per our AI Model.
NBA Pick: Suns ML (+180) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
