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NBA Computer Picks for February 25: Can the Hawks Earn Season Series Over Magic?

Jalen Johnson Atlanta Hawks v Chicago Bulls
Jalen Johnson #1 of the Atlanta Hawks dunks against Coby White #0 of the Chicago Bulls. Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images/AFP

We’ve got plenty of NBA action on tonight’s slate. We checked in with the AI Model to find the best bets for tonight. Let’s see if the AI Model can deliver again.

Picks Summary


Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks

Sunday, February 25, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena


Our AI Model likes Hawks to hold on against the Magic, 114-112, on their home court. This is the fourth and final meeting between the Magic and Hawks this season. Atlanta has won two of three, and the home team has also won two of three games in this series.

The Magic are coming off yesterday’s game against the Detroit Pistons on the road. Now they’ll stay on the road and face the Atlanta Hawks in a second game of a back-to-back. That’s not ideal, especially after the Magic needed a near buzzer-beater to beat the Pistons on the road last night.

The Magic likely won’t be on their A-game offensively. The team is good at getting to the foul line and does well earning second chances. But the turnovers should be high, and the effective field goal percentage will likely take a hit.

On the other hand, the Hawks will get to the foul line more consistently. Atlanta has also been better on the offensive glass and is also shooting a higher effective field goal percentage.

While Orlando is typically a solid defense, the legs will likely be a bit tired after last night’s game. That’s why the advantage is with the Hawks in this one. Atlanta has already beaten the Magic in two of three games and will look to win the season series at home later tonight.

NBA Pick: Hawks +1 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Charlotte Hornets vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Sunday, February 25, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Moda Center


The AI Model suggests the Hornets and Blazers will combine for 217 points in tonight’s game. Meanwhile, Caesars, one of our top sportsbooks, has the Over at 214, providing value on the Over for tonight’s NBA matchup.

The Charlotte Hornets have ruled out LaMelo Ball from playing in tonight’s game. He’s been out for a while and doesn’t have a legitimate timetable on when he’ll return. The Hornets have still played better recently.

Charlotte has won four of its last five games, thanks to assets like Grant Williams and Tre Mann. Both have stepped up in larger roles after coming over in the NBA Trade Deadline. Still, the Hornets are one of the worst-rated offenses, going up against a Portland defense that has performed horribly.

The Blazers will at least force some turnovers, but overall, the Hornets have more weapons on offense now that should carry them to a solid day on offense.

On the other hand, the Hornets have allowed 121 points per 100 possessions, which is just as bad as Portland’s defense. The Blazers should add many second-chance points with a high rate of offensive rebounds.

Therefore, we’ll back the Over at -110 betting odds in this matchup. I’m with the AI Model here.

NBA Pick: Over 214 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook


Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Friday, February 25, 2024 – 09:30 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena


The AI Model likes the Clippers and Kings to combine for 237 points. However, Bet365 is carrying a 240.5 total. Therefore, the Under is the play in this late-night battle.

The Clippers and Kings will play in the third game of a four-game regular season series. The Clippers won both earlier matchups and even held the Kings to 99 points on their home floor back on December 12. That would be ideal for tonight, too, with the total currently sitting at 240.5.

The Clippers have held teams to 114.3 points per 100 possessions. They’ve been able to limit opponents to a 53.6% effective field goal percentage and a 19.1 free throw rate. The Kings are ineffective on the offensive glass and aren’t aggressive enough to get to the foul line at a high rate.

Therefore, with poor shots, fewer second-chance opportunities, and a limited amount of free throws, the Kings could struggle on the road offensively in this game.

On the other hand, the Clippers will likely be the better offense. They’ve been more consistent overall, shooting an effective field goal percentage of 57.3%.

Los Angeles should also see the foul line more. However, when the Clippers miss shots, they’re not going to get many second chances either. The Kings rank No. 1 in limiting teams on the offensive glass. That should help keep this game Under.

NBA Pick: Under 240.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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