While only six games are on tonight’s NBA slate, five are expected to be tight and competitive. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its thoughts on tonight’s action. Here are the three best bets to consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice, featuring today’s Pacers vs. Nets and Magic vs. 76ers games!
Picks Summary
- Heat -1.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Bucks -4.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Clippers +3 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat
Wednesday, December 04, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center
The AI Model likes the Miami Heat to earn a 110-107 victory at home against the Los Angeles Lakers. However, the Heat are just 1.5-point favorites. They’ve got value in tonight’s game.
The Heat Can Get Stops
The Los Angeles Lakers are ranked 11th in points per 100 possessions on offense. However, the Heat are also ranked 11th in defensive points per 100 possessions. Anything the Lakers can do, the Heat can do just as well defensively.
The Lakers have shot a 54.9% effective field goal percentage, but the Heat have limited teams to a 54.9% effective field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the Lakers have turned the ball over 13.3% of the time, but the Heat have grabbed 15.7% of turnovers.
The Heat match up well against the Lakers on defense.
Los Angeles Won’t Add Turnovers
The Lakers have allowed 116.9 points per 100 possessions. The defense currently ranks 24th in that category. While the Heat don’t shoot the ball very well, there’s a good chance Miami keeps turnovers down and adds a bunch of offensive rebounds.
After all, the Lakers have allowed nearly 29% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
The Pick
Roll with the AI Model and back the Heat at -1.5.
NBA Pick: Heat -1.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Wednesday, December 04, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum
Our AI Model thinks the Bucks will take care of business against the Hawks tonight with a five-point win. With Milwaukee at -4.5, consider the Bucks against the spread as one of the best plays.
Atlanta’s Poor Shot Selection
The Atlanta Hawks have scored 113.4 points per 100 possessions, ranking 17th in the NBA. However, the shooting has kept the Hawks from achieving a better offense.
Atlanta has shot an effective field goal percentage of 53.9% this season. That won’t be good enough against a Bucks defense that has limited teams to a 53.6% effective field goal percentage. The Hawks have succeeded on the offensive glass and foul line, but the Bucks excel defensively in both of those areas.
Milwaukee’s Top-10 Offense
The Milwaukee Bucks are on a seven-game winning streak. During that time, the offense has improved. They now rank 4th in the NBA in effective field goal percentage and have returned the ball below 14% of the time.
Additionally, the Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot a 55.7% effective field goal percentage. The Bucks should be able to take advantage and have a big day shooting the ball.
The Pick
Let’s ride with the Bucks at -4.5.
NBA Pick: Bucks -4.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Wednesday, December 04, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model thinks the Minnesota Timberwolves will sneak a one-point win over the Clippers on the road. However, the Clippers are currently +3. You’ll want to think about backing the home team here.
The Clippers Continue To Defend Well
The Los Angeles Clippers have held teams to 109.3 points per 100 possessions and limited opponents to 24.1% of offensive rebounds. In addition, they rank in the top 15 in defensive effective field goal percentage, turnover percentage and free throw percentage.
Meanwhile, Minnesota needs to be more consistent on offense. The Timberwolves have shot an effective field goal percentage of 55.1% but have also turned the ball over 16% of the time. Turnovers could be a problem in this game against the Clippers, and offensive rebounds will also be difficult to come by.
Better On The Glass
The Los Angeles Clippers are just as inconsistent on offense as the Timberwolves, and the Timberwolves are just as good defensively as the Clippers.
That said, the Clippers have added 29.2% of offensive rebounds and should add extra possessions and better looks off misses. That should help them get ahead and knock off the Timberwolves at home.
The Pick
Back the Clippers at +3 here.
NBA Pick: Clippers +3 (-110) at Bet365
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
