There are plenty of matchups on the NBA slate tonight! The OddsTrader computers have been on fire recently, so we’re going back to the model for some more NBA picks. Let’s add some profit in the middle of the week!
Picks Summary
- Pacers -7.5 (-110)
- Pelicans ML (-108)
- Raptors +10.5 (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers
Wednesday, January 10, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Our AI Model believes the Pacers will earn a 130-121 win over the Washington Wizards tonight. With the Pacers playing without Tyrese Haliburton, the model has no fear. The Pacers took a huge blow with Tyrese Haliburton’s injury. He’ll be out for a couple of weeks before returning.
Indiana’s Defense and Offense
Indiana’s defense is already one of the worst in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed 121.8 points per 100 possessions and have given up a 26.4% effective field goal percentage. While the Wizards will get good looks from the floor, they’re the worst at earning second chances and rarely get to the foul line.
On the other hand, Indiana has been the best offense in the NBA this season, earning 123.2 points per 100 possessions.
Even without Haliburton, the Pacers should have a day offensively, knowing Washington is dead last in points per 100 possessions and effective field goal percentage on defense. The Wizards are also last in rebounding, giving up 32.4% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
The Pacers have other guys that can step up. Washington will play sloppy, and while Indiana isn’t effective defensively, they’ll do enough offensively to get the win and cover against the spread.
NBA Pick: Pacers -7.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors
Wednesday, January 10, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at Chase Center
The AI Model suggests the Pelicans will earn a 117-115 win over the Golden State Warriors tonight. With the Pelicans sitting at -108 on the moneyline, there’s a little value on New Orleans tonight.
The Warriors won’t have Draymond Green back, despite being reinstated. He’s still got to get back to game shape. Meanwhile, the Warriors lost Chris Paul to a hand injury for at least a month and aren’t getting much production from anyone on the team not named Steph Curry.
The offense isn’t even ranked in the top ten in points per 100 possessions. They’ve also turned the ball over 14.9% of the time, which is 24th in the NBA. While Golden State has had success on the offensive glass, the Pelicans are above average on the defensive glass and above average in every major defensive category.
Right now, Zion Williamson is a game-time decision. If he plays, it’ll be a bonus, but the Pelicans are likely fine without him. New Orleans should get to the foul line often and don’t really have to worry about turning the ball over. The Warriors are one of the worst teams at forcing turnovers and have allowed a 21.9 free throw rate.
Let’s take the Pelicans at -108 betting odds. I’m with the AI Model here.
NBA Pick: Pelicans ML (-108) at Caesars Sportsbook
Toronto Raptors vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Wednesday, January 10, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena
Our AI Model likes the Toronto Raptors to hang on against the Los Angeles Clippers. Despite the model having the Raptors lose by nine, with the Raptors at +10.5, there’s still value on the new-look Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors made a move that sent OG Anunoby to the New York Knicks in exchange for RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley. Both of those two are starting for the Raptors, so it increased their depth and made their starting lineup better. The offense has more firepower now. They’ve only scored 115.9 points per 100 possessions but have shot an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%, which is respectable.
Toronto isn’t getting to the foul line often, but even without an injured Jakob Poeltl, Toronto should still be active on the offensive glass.
Defensive Challenges for the Clippers
The Clippers have allowed 27.8% of offensive rebounds per game this season but have still only given up 112.6 points per 100 possessions.
On the other hand, the Clippers should be more efficient from the field. Make no mistake about it. However, the Clippers won’t be as active on the offensive glass, as they’ve earned just 28.1% of offensive rebounds. It’s also unlikely that the Clippers get to the line at their high rate of 22.2. Instead, the Raptors have held opponents to a 17.6 free throw rate.
The Clippers could win this game. However, the AI model believes the Raptors will keep it close. I do too.
NBA Pick: Raptors +10.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
