We’ve got more bets from our computers for tonight’s NBA slate. With so many games on the board, we let the AI Model help us choose the best bets for tonight. Which bet will you take?
Picks Summary
- Cavaliers +2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Nets -1 (-110) at Bet365
- Mavericks -4 (-110) at Bet365
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Monday, January 29, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
Our AI Model believes the Cavaliers will lose to the Clippers by one point at home, 113-112. However, the Cavaliers are at +2.5 (-110) at Caesars. There’s value against the spread with the Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers should have a reinforcement tonight. Evan Mobley is expected to return from his injury after a long hiatus away from the team. Don’t expect Mobley to go off. But his length, size, and ultimate ability will help the Cavaliers continue to improve.
The Cavaliers are one of the best defenses in the NBA, holding teams to 111.3 points per 100 possessions. They’ll have a tough task of stopping the Clippers, who rank second in points per 100 possessions and fourth in effective field goal percentage. The Clippers will get their way to the foul line but should at least go below their averages in all other main categories against the Cavaliers.
Meanwhile, Cleveland should have more success on the offensive glass. With more second chances come more shots, and with more shots come more points. The Clippers are good at forcing tough looks. However, the Cavaliers will have more volume and are already the underdogs in this matchup.
Give me the Cavaliers at +2.5 at home.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers +2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Utah Jazz vs. Brooklyn Nets
Monday, January 29, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at Barclays Center
The AI Model suggests the Nets will knock off the Jazz, 119-116. With the Nets sitting at -1, there’s some cushion between the model and sportsbooks with the Nets against the spread.
The Utah Jazz are an average offense that turns the ball over at the highest rate in the NBA. However, the Jazz are also one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the NBA, but shoot a 54.5% effective field goal percentage, which is below average.
With the Jazz, you never know what you’ll get. It’s typically a mixed bag with this group. They’re 24-23 but sometimes look like a five-win team. The Jazz could be stopped on the offensive glass a little bit in this one. The Nets have limited teams to 26.6% of offensive rebounds. If the Jazz can’t dominate the glass like they typically do, the Nets have an advantage defensively.
On the other hand, the Jazz have allowed 118.6 points per 100 possessions. Utah will limit foul shots but won’t earn many turnovers. The Nets are also active on the offensive glass and could match the Jazz with offensive rebounds and second chances.
Brooklyn doesn’t take the best looks. However, the expectation is that the Nets will win the turnover battle and ultimately get more shots up to escape the Jazz and win this game at home. Let’s back the Nets here. I like where the AI Model is going with this one.
NBA Pick: Nets -1 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Orlando Magic vs. Dallas Mavericks
Monday, January 29, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center
The AI Model suggests Dallas will earn a 117-111 win over Orlando tonight. However, the Mavericks are just -4 against the spread on Bet365. Dallas looks to be the play tonight.
The Dallas Mavericks already played the Magic on the road back in November. Dallas won that game 117-102. However, the Mavericks haven’t been as good recently. They’ve lost four of their last five games and don’t have Kyrie Irving, who is out with a thumb injury.
Meanwhile, the Magic are 24-22 and doing their best to stay above .500. Orlando started the year off strong but has since fallen a bit as of late. The Magic have scored 113.2 points per 100 possessions with a 53.1% effective field goal percentage. They’ve also turned the ball over 14.6% of the time, which is very high. However, Orlando should be effective on the offensive glass. That’s ultimately the only area where Orlando has the advantage offensively against Dallas.
Meanwhile, the Mavericks have been more consistent offensively, scoring 118.9 points per 100 possessions. They also won’t be dominant on the offensive glass. Therefore, it’ll come down to which team takes better shots and makes more shots.
That should be the Mavericks, who have added an effective field goal percentage of 56.4% this season. Orlando is really good at forcing turnovers. They’ve added 15.7% of turnovers per game this year. However, the Mavericks have limited turnovers to 12.3%. If the Magic can’t feast on turnovers, they’re not going to win this game.
Take the Mavericks at -4. I’m with the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Mavericks -4 (-110) at Bet365
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