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BETTING

NBA Computer Picks for March 7: Knicks Can Cover

Josh Hart New York Knicks v Los Angeles Lakers
Josh Hart #3 of the New York Knicks shoots the ball against the Los Angeles Lakers. Meg Oliphant/Getty Images/AFP

The NBA has eight games on tonight’s NBA slate. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its best three bets for the night.

Here’s what it came up with for March 7.

Picks Summary

  • Spurs-Kings Over 235 (-110)
  • Suns +7.5 (-110)
  • Knicks +7.5 (-110)

*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings

Friday, March 07, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center


The AI Model believes the Spurs and Kings will combine for 236 points. However, the total is currently 235 at Bet365, so the over has some value tonight.

The Spurs Can Keep Turnovers Down!

The San Antonio Spurs have scored 113.2 points per 100 possessions, which is the 18th best in the NBA. Still, they will take on a Kings team that has allowed a 55.1% effective field goal percentage and a 20.2 free throw rate.

These are two areas where the Spurs can take advantage of the Kings.

In addition, the Spurs have kept turnovers down to 14%, and the Kings are not much of a threat to earn many takeaways.

With a limited amount of turnovers and some good looks from the field, the Spurs should have a solid offensive night behind De’Aaron Fox.

The Kings Have It Easy

The Kings have been more consistent offensively this season. Now, they’ll take on a Spurs team that ranks 23rd in points per 100 possessions.

The Spurs might keep teams away from the foul line. However, they have also allowed 29.5% of offensive rebounds and an effective field goal percentage near 55%.

The Kings, like the Spurs, don’t often turn over the ball. They should add more offensive rebounds and shoot better from the field.

There’s reason to believe both teams will find their groove offensively. Let’s back the Over 235 at -110 NBA odds and trust the AI Model with this one.

NBA Pick: Over 235 (-110) at Bet365


Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets

Friday, March 07, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena


The AI Model thinks the Nuggets will win by seven points at home against the Suns. However, the Suns are +7.5 against the spread and would cover in this scenario.

Phoenix Can Score!

Despite high expectations, the Phoenix Suns haven’t had the most exciting season. Still, the Suns have scored 115.6 points per 100 possessions, which will go a long way against the Nuggets, who rank 18th defensively.

The Suns should be able to limit turnovers well against the Nuggets, resulting in more shots. With an effective field goal percentage of 56.4%, more shots will benefit the Suns in this game.

Can The Suns Limit The Nuggets?

The Nuggets have been one of the most consistent offenses in the NBA this season. That said, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, and others are all game-time decisions and listed as questionable.

The offense should limit turnovers and create more second chances on the glass. Still, the Suns have limited teams to a 54.4% effective field goal percentage.

They’ll make it hard for the Nuggets to find good looks consistently. Consider the Suns at +7.5.

NBA Pick: Suns +7.5 (-110) at Bet365


New York Knicks vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Friday, March 07, 2025 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome


The AI Model predicts the Knicks will lose to the Clippers, 114-107. Still, the Knicks are +7.5 against the spread and would also cover in this game. Consider the Knicks here.

Will The Knicks Respond After Yesterday’s Loss?

The New York Knicks lost to the Los Angeles Lakers in overtime last night, 113-109. In that game, Jalen Brunson got hurt and could miss a game or two with a sprained ankle.

Still, the Knicks are one of the top offenses in the NBA, scoring 120.5 points per 100 possessions.

They’ve easily been more consistent than the Clippers and should at least get good looks from the floor with or without Brunson.

Can The Clippers Keep Up?

The Clippers have shot an effective field goal percentage of only 54.5% and scored only 112.6 points per 100 possessions.

Los Angeles has also turned the ball over 15.7% of the time and figures to still lose the turnover battle even at home.

In addition, New York has limited teams to 27.6% of offensive rebounds. They’ll keep the Clippers off the glass for most of this game. Let’s ride with the Knicks at +7.5.

NBA Pick: Knicks +7.5 (-110) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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