With 12 games on the NBA slate tonight, here are three bets from our AI Model that you should consider adding to your betting portfolio.
- Warriors -6.5 (-110) at BetRivers
- Knicks +1 (-110) at Unibet
- Hawks-Thunder Over 236.5 (-110) at Unibet
Monday, November 6, 2023 – 07:00 PM EDT at Little Caesars Arena
Our AI Model believes the Warriors will earn a 116-105 victory over the Pistons on the road tonight. With Golden State at just -6.5, there’s value in taking the Warriors.
The Warriors are back to their old ways. Golden State is scoring 116.5 points per 100 possessions while shooting a 54.7% effective field goal percentage. They’re also getting to the foul line at an above-average rate and should see more of that against a Pistons defense that fouls the most in the NBA.
Detroit’s Poor Form
The Pistons also don’t average many turnovers and will still struggle to rebound defensively against a Warriors team that has earned over 30% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
On the other hand, the Pistons have turned the ball over 17.9% of the time. While they’ll succeed on the offensive glass, Detroit will still miss a lot of shots and won’t be able to match the Warriors on the foul line.
Detroit has shot a 52.3% effective field goal percentage to begin the year. That’s not going to get the job done. It’s also why they’re 2-5 to begin the season.
I’ll side with the Warriors at -6.5.
Monday, November 6, 2023 – 07:30 PM EST at Madison Square Garden
Our AI Model believes the Knicks will earn a three-point win at home against the Los Angeles Clippers. With the Clippers having a lot of unknowns, this is a solid spot for the Knicks.
Clippers Might Be In Trouble
Nobody knows what to expect out of the Clippers tonight.
The starting lineup will feature Russell Westbrook, James Harden, Paul George, and Kawhi Leonard, along with Ivica Zubac. This is an insane starting five a few years ago. Now, it’s hard to imagine these four having success playing together.
With the Knicks allowing just 19.4% of offensive rebounds and the Clippers likely chucking up a bunch of shots with little chemistry, it’s fair to assume that the Knicks will have the edge in this game.
So far, the Clippers have added a 59.3% effective field goal percentage. While Harden won’t play many minutes in this game, it’s unlikely that he helps that percentage in any way.
Buzz in the Arena
On the other hand, the Knicks have shot a 46.8% effective field goal percentage, with 105.5 points per 100 possessions. They’re playing a lot of one-on-one and not playing with much team chemistry, either.
But that’s been addressed. Look for the Knicks to come out strong at home, with a packed crowd excited to see what the Clippers have to offer. The place will be buzzing, and with the Knicks dominating the glass, I like the Knicks to get the win.
NBA Pick: Knicks +1 (-110) at Unibet
Monday, November 6, 2023 – 08:00 PM EST at Paycom Center
The AI Model suggests the Hawks and Thunder will combine for 244 points, with the Hawks earning a 124-120 win. However, the total for this game is only at 236.5, proving that there’s value in the Over in this matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have ruled out their top scorer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. But without Gilgeous-Alexander earlier in the week, the Thunder added 139 points in a 141-139 loss. The offense is still compatible.
The Thunder have scored 115.9 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 57.8%. While the Thunder aren’t great on the offensive glass, they’re still getting to the foul line at an above-average rate.
Defensive Struggles for the Hawks
On the other hand, the Hawks have allowed 111.9 points per 100 possessions. Teams have also shot a 55.4% effective field goal percentage against Atlanta to begin the season. That’s 22nd in the NBA.
The Hawks should clean up the defensive glass. But the Thunder will still have plenty of transition buckets and add a fast-paced style of offense in this game.
Meanwhile, the Hawks have added 121.4 points per 100 possessions, which is second-best in the NBA. Atlanta has earned a 56.4% effective field goal percentage and should limit turnovers while dominating the offensive glass.
The Hawks should get plenty of second-chances buckets while earning 31.2% of offensive rebounds.
The Thunder have allowed 30.9% of offensive rebounds, so it’s fair to believe that the Hawks will dominate the glass throughout the game. That’ll only help them earn some easy buckets around the paint.
Atlanta, like the Thunder, are just as good at getting to the foul line. They’ve got a 24.9 free throw rate, which is incredibly good to begin the season.
With that, we’ll back the Over in this matchup.
NBA Pick: Over 236.5 (-110) at Unibet
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.