The Indiana Pacers have forced a Game 7 in the NBA Finals! Now they’ll head to Oklahoma City for a do-or-die matchup against the Thunder. This will be the first Game 7 in the NBA Finals since 2016 when LeBron James’ Cleveland Cavaliers stunned the Golden State Warriors in seven games.
Let’s give it a closer look before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
The Picks
- Pacers +7.5 (-110)
- Under 215 (-110)
- T.J. McConnell Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds (-124)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Sunday, June 21, 2025 – 08:00 PM EDT at Paycom Center
The Thunder opened as 8.5-point favorites. Yet, that number has decreased to 6.5 (-120) in some places. The odds still favor the Thunder, but sharp action is coming in on the Thunder.
Meanwhile, our AI Model suggests the Thunder will earn a six-point win over the Pacers in Game 7. Therefore, the Model expects the Thunder to hoist the trophy, but the Model also predicts the Pacers to cover against the spread.
Right now, you can find the Pacers at +7.5 (-110) against the spread. That’s the best bet.
Additionally, the AI model predicts we’ll receive 214 points. Yet, the under is currently at 215 via Caesars. There will likely be much harder defense played in this Game 7 matchup. It’ll be intense, so the Under is easily the best play.
If you’re looking for a player prop, consider T.J. McConnell to add at least 13 points and rebounds. Our AI Model currently thinks he’ll finish with more than 15 points and rebounds. Ultimately, it’s likely he’ll earn more minutes with Tyrese Haliburton’s injury.
Pacers Must Keep The Same Gameplan!
The Indiana Pacers must do exactly what they did in Game 6. Indiana held the Thunder to 41.9% shooting from the field and limited Oklahoma City to just 26.7% from three-point range. In addition, the Pacers forced ten more turnovers and earned five more rebounds. They also gave up just 13 points off their 11 turnovers and played much more as a team, adding nine more assists in the game.
Basically, the Pacers didn’t give the Thunder many good looks. But more significantly, the Pacers allowed just four offensive rebounds off all of those misses. They were absolutely dominant on the glass and didn’t give up many second chances or turnovers.
It’ll be harder to do that on the road, but the Pacers still have momentum entering this game.
The Thunder Have Never Been Great At Shooting!
The Thunder have done so many great things during the postseason. However, shooting hasn’t been one of them.
You’d think the Thunder have been great at shooting behind MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams. But that hasn’t been the case. In the playoffs, the Thunder have shot a 52.2% effective field goal percentage, which is 10th-best in the playoffs. They’ve only done well offensively because of their ability to limit turnovers.
But that was another area where the Thunder struggled in Game 6. With many turnovers and poor shooting, the Thunder won’t give themselves a good enough chance in Game 7. On the other hand, the Pacers have been the best offense in the NBA this year. But they’ll have some trouble against the Thunder, specifically on the road. After all, the Thunder have limited teams to a 51.3% effective field goal percentage in the playoffs.
The Under makes a lot of sense in a Game 7 final between these two teams.
McConnell Will Get More Run!
T.J. McConnell has been a difference maker for the Pacers over the last couple of games. He’s added at least 21 points and rebounds in back-to-back games and has played at least 22 minutes in each game.
With Tyrese Haliburton nursing a calf injury, it’s likely McConnell will see more minutes for the third straight game. In Game 6, McConnell grabbed nine rebounds on 11 opportunities and scored another 12 points.
He’s always active and making winning plays. Let’s bet him to add at least 12.5 points and rebounds tonight.
The Picks
- Pacers +7.5 (-110)
- Under 215 (-110)
- T.J. McConnell Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds (-124)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
