With an exciting lineup of games in today’s MLB schedule, let’s explore the projections from our computers for one of the evening’s most anticipated matchups.
MLB Pick
- Red Sox ML (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Wednesday, April 10, 2024 – 07:10 PM ET at Fenway Park
The AI Model likes the Red Sox to win 6-4 at home tonight. A two-run win would be huge, especially with the Red Sox sitting at just -115 on the moneyline for this game.
Irvin’s Struggles
The Red Sox will face Cole Irvin of the Orioles tonight. Irvin is a left-handed pitcher who has allowed his first 21 righties to hit a .373 wOBA. Irvin continues to allow high-fly balls and earn low-ground balls against righties.
This was a problem last year, too.
While Irvin is set to face a Red Sox lineup that has struck out 26.8% of the time, Boston still has more righties than lefties. In addition, Irvin has only struck out 12.5% of batters this season and added just above 20% of strikeouts last year. He’s not going to add a lot of strikeouts, even against this Red Sox lineup.
If Boston can get the ball in play, good things will happen as Irvin continues to allow lots of fly balls.
Pitching Power
On the other hand, Boston will pitch Kutter Crawford, who has looked excellent this season. Crawford has held his first 42 batters to an ISO of .000 and wOBA of .172. He’s earned 53.8% of grounders and has allowed just 15.4% of fly balls. This is ultimately ace material.
Plus, he’ll face an Orioles lineup that struggles against righties, hitting a .322 wOBA with just 7.8% of walks.
Let’s back the Red Sox at -115 at home. I’m with the AI Model.
MLB Pick: Red Sox ML (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
