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BETTING

2024 Roland Garros Betting Analysis & Tips

Court Philippe-Chatrier French Open at Roland Garros
Italy's Lucia Bronzetti (L) and Japan's Naomi Osaka play their women's singles match on day one on Court Philippe-Chatrier of the French Open tennis tournament at the Roland Garros Complex in Paris. Emmanuel Dunand / AFP

When betting on the French Open, there are many tips and tactics that you need to employ. Let’s take a look at the best ways to approach the prestigious tournament in Paris.

Groundstrokes are Important

Modern tennis, especially on the men’s side, is dominated by the big serve. Breaks of serve are at a premium, and the big servers smash through the tour picking up easy service games and grabbing one break or a tiebreaker to win their matches. However, the slow clay of Roland Garros mitigates the speed of the serve, allowing for players who are more defensive and groundstroke-oriented to be able to get big wins.

On clay, point construction and ground strokes matter so much, you cannot serve your way out of a jam. Therefore, when evaluating these players on clay, look for the players with the strongest, most consistent groundstrokes.

Filter Your Results for The Clay Court Swing

The Australian Open is a great way to start the year and a fun tournament we always look forward to. However, using the Australian Open and other quick hard-court tournaments to predict success here at the French Open is a fool’s errand. Of all the surfaces, clay is the most unique.

Success on clay can be something that certain players specialize in. Look for a clay court specialist.

Back players who eschew hard court tournaments to play as many clay court tournaments as they can. These players know that they struggle on hard courts, so they will try to play as many tournaments as they can in order to rack up ranking points on clay.

These players traditionally do well at the French Open because they have honed their whole schedule towards this Grand Slam.

Find clay court specialists and back them, especially against big-name players at a lucrative price.

Watch the Opening Rounds Before Betting

An inexperienced bettor may get excited to bet the first round of the tournament and take a huge hit right off the bat.

If you are new to betting tennis, get a couple of rounds under your belt before you dive right in. You can look at the draw.

Look at two matches in which the winners will face each other. As you watch those matches, you can envision how the matchup between the two winners will play out. What are they successful at? In what areas do they struggle? How consistent are they? These are questions you can ask yourself.

As you watch the matches and dial in on certain sections of the draw, you can become knowledgeable about how a match will turn out. Don’t be excited to bet too much into the opening rounds. Watch some tennis, take some notes, and make informed wagers.

Women's Upsets in Grand Slams

In Grand Slam events, upsets are more prevalent on the women’s side. The best-of-three format requires players to maintain peak performance for a shorter duration, increasing the likelihood of surprise results. Consequently, the women’s bracket presents fertile ground for underdog betting, offering potentially lucrative returns for savvy bettors willing to back the players who are not favored.

While the men’s best-of-five format favors higher-ranked players with superior stamina and consistency, the women’s format allows for greater volatility and unpredictability. On the women’s side, they only have to win two sets to secure a victory, increasing the likelihood of upsets.

As a result, underdogs get the upset win in women’s matches more often, particularly in the early rounds of Grand Slam tournaments. Bettors who can identify talented but underrated players capable of springing surprises can capitalize on inflated odds and secure profitable returns.

Leveraging Totals to Your Advantage

When assessing betting options, consider leveraging totals to optimize your strategy. Opting for the over or under can sometimes offer better value than traditional spreads, especially in matches where one-sided sets can skew the outcome. Betting the over with underdogs or taking the under with favorites can provide a safer alternative than spread betting.

Clay court matches, in particular, tend to feature longer rallies and tighter scorelines, making totals an attractive option for bettors seeking to minimize risk. By carefully analyzing match dynamics, player tendencies, and surface conditions, bettors can identify favorable totals opportunities and capitalize on mispriced lines.

Conclusion

The French Open is an exciting tournament that is unique in how slow the surface plays. Not only is clay the slowest surface, but the French Open is the slowest of the clay courts. Keep in mind that you are not watching normal hard-court tennis.

When you dive into the French Open, make sure you emphasize players who have strong groundstrokes, target backing underdog clay court specialists against players who scored most of their ranking points on hard courts, and also watch matches, take notes and don’t bet too many matches in the early rounds.

Follow these tips and you will have a successful French Open when it comes to betting and making a profit.

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