The college football slate for Week 10 has a bunch of value plays on the slate. Here are three that the OddsTrader computers like for Saturday.
Picks Summary
- Kansas +2 (-110) at Unibet
- Washington-USC Over 76.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Miami -4 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Saturday, November 4, 2023 – 07:00 PM EDT at Jack Trice Stadium
Our AI Model believes the Kansas Jayhawks will defeat the Iowa State Cyclones on the road, 37-27. With Kansas sitting at +2 on the road, this is a no-brainer bet for Saturday.
Fresh off a home upset against Oklahoma, the Kansas Jayhawks are +2 against Iowa State.
Iowa has earned four wins in their last five games after things went really south to begin the season. They’ve earned wins against Oklahoma State, TCU, Cincinnati, and Baylor, with the only loss coming to Oklahoma. But you know who beat Oklahoma? Kansas.
Quarterback Situation
The Jayhawks are back to being ranked in the Top 25 after a win over Oklahoma, 38-33. The defense hasn’t really held up. However, the offense behind Jason Bean has been sensational. Bean will likely play on Saturday, but Jalon Daniels could also return from an injury. Daniels was the starter for Kansas before getting injured. He’s been questionable over the last few weeks.
But I don’t know how Kansas could change quarterbacks after an upset win against Oklahoma. Either way, Kansas will have a solid quarterback for this game.
Offensive Struggles for Iowa State
Meanwhile, Iowa State’s offense has only earned 337.8 yards per game. They’ve thrown for under 215 yards and have earned about 123 yards on the ground.
The Cyclones won’t have success in the air against Kansas but could run the ball against them well. The Jayhawks have missed a lot of open-field tackles that could haunt them. However, Iowa State’s run blocking and overall offensive line haven’t played well enough. Kansas just needs to get a couple of hands on the ball carrier, and they’ll make the play.
Let’s take Kansas at +2, coming off its emotional win.
NCAAF Pick: Kansas +2 (-110) at Unibet
Washington Huskies vs. USC Trojans
Saturday, November 4, 2023 – 07:30 PM EDT at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Our AI Model believes Washington and USC will combine for 83 points. With the total sitting at 76.5, there’s still value on the Over in this Pac-12 matchup.
This is the game many people have been eying on the Pac-12 schedule, as we will get two of the best quarterbacks dueling it out on Saturday.
Quarterback Duel
Michael Penix Jr. of Washington has thrown for nearly 3,000 yards with 24 touchdowns and six interceptions. Meanwhile, Caleb Williams of USC has added 25 passing touchdowns and four interceptions.
Between the two, they’ve compiled over 50 total touchdowns in the air and on the ground.Â
High-Powered Offenses
Of course, the model thinks this game will go over. We’ve got two of the best quarterbacks in college football.
Washington has averaged 501.3 yards per game, while USC has earned 482.2 yards per game on offense. I’d be surprised if we didn’t get over 1,000 yards of total offenses from both teams.
Especially considering that Washington and USC have also allowed over 400 yards of offense each on the defensive end.
Enjoy this shootout in the Pac-12. Take the Over.
NCAAF Pick: Over 76.5 (-110) at Bet365
Miami Hurricanes vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
Saturday, November 4, 2023 – 08:00 PM EDT at Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium
The AI Model suggests Miami will earn a 32-19 win on the road against North Carolina State. With Miami at -4, there’s reason to select the Hurricanes on the road.
There’s much hype surrounding North Carolina State after their upset against Clemson last weekend. However, in the previous game, North Carolina State lost to Duke, 24-3, who just lost to Louisville and got shut out.
The ACC is drunk. But the Hurricanes have earned back-to-back wins in the conference over Clemson and Virginia. Although these two games were in overtime, they still count as wins.
Tyler’s Impact
Miami is now 6-2 behind Tyler Van Dyke. Van Dyke has been injured and not playing at a high level. But he’s still helped Miami earn 456.1 yards per game. Van Dyke has also thrown 16 touchdowns with eight interceptions and has nearly 1,900 yards passing on the season.
Challenges for Iowa State’s Offense
However, for Miami, what stands out the most is the defense. The Hurricanes have held teams to 321.5 yards per game, including only 86.9 yards per game on the ground.
NC State’s Offensive Style
On the other hand, North Carolina State has earned under 200 yards passing and relies heavily on the run game, where they’ve averaged over 130 yards per game on the ground.
The Hurricanes have one of the best-run defenses in the league. They’ve also converted on many tackles and have a pass rush that will hunt you down.
I don’t think North Carolina State’s offense will keep up with Miami’s. Let’s take the Hurricanes against the spread for Saturday’s ACC showdown.
NCAAF Pick: Miami -4 (-110) at Bet365
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