If you’re still looking for some value in college football for Week 3, check out three spots that the OddsTrader computers like less than 24 hours before game time!
Picks Summary
- Florida State -26.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Louisville -10 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- BYU +8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
BYU Cougars vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Saturday, September 16, 2023 – 07:30 PM EDT at Razorback Stadium
The AI Model suggests the BYU Cougars will earn an outright win on Saturday, 32-29, as eight-point underdogs. However, we’ll play it safe and look at the spread for the Cougars in this one.
The BYU Cougars haven’t played a significant opponent this season. This will be their first test against Arkansas on the road. The Cougars have already defeated Sam Houston State 14-0 and earned a 41-16 win over Southern Utah.
The defense has dominated against the run and has tackled at an outstanding rate. They’re led by Kedon Slovis, who has thrown for nearly 500 yards and four touchdowns this season. Slovis was highly recruited out of high school and played for USC and Pittsburgh before heading to BYU for his fifth season.
On the other hand, Arkansas earned wins against Western Carolina and Kent State. Those are two “better” wins compared to BYU. But the Razorbacks only scored 28 against Kent State, which was a bit downer.
The offense has earned only 343.5 yards per game but the defense has been smothering. However, a defense of this caliber won’t scare Slovis and the BYU offense.
I think we’ll get a defensive battle. It’ll be a lower-scoring game and will likely finish as a one-possession game. If BYU loses by a touchdown, we’d still win against the spread. I like the AI Model’s prediction here.
NCAAF Pick: BYU +8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Florida State Seminoles vs. Boston College Eagles
Saturday, September 16, 2023 – 12:00 PM EDT at Alumni Stadium
Our AI Model believes the Florida State Seminoles will earn a 48-18 win over Boston College in the Week 3 matchup on ABC. Boston College almost lost to an FCS school last weekend.
As a Power 5 school, Boston College lost to Northern Illinois and only beat an FCS school, Holy Cross, by three. The Eagles have earned just 184 yards per game in the air. They’re already onto their backup quarterback, Thomas Castellanos, who has a QBR of 33.1.
Castellanos has also led the team in rushing. Therefore, Boston College doesn’t have a great running game outside their quarterback. On defense, the pass rush could be more efficient. If LSU couldn’t pass-rush Florida State, Boston College doesn’t stand a chance either.
Florida State already earned a win against LSU and added a 66-13 win over Southern Miss. The offense is lethal behind Jordan Travis, who has added six passing touchdowns in two games.
Keon Coleman transferred from Michigan State to Florida State for his final season as a receiver. He’s added four touchdowns in two games, with 12 catches and 170 yards. Florida State has earned 524 yards per game on offense. They’ve also held teams to under 360 yards on defense per game.
Boston College stands no chance. Florida State will win this game by 30+. The AI Model knows.
NCAAF Pick: Florida State -26.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Louisville Cardinals vs. Indiana Hoosiers
Saturday, September 16, 2023 – 12:00 PM EDT at Lucas Oil Stadium
Our AI Model believes the Louisville Cardinals will win Saturday’s game, 35-20, as just ten-point favorites. The Cardinals and the Hoosiers have had extra rest to prepare for this game. But Louisville probably has the better talent in this one.
The Indiana Hoosiers lost to Ohio State but earned a 41-7 win over Indiana State in their last matchup. Indiana has only earned 355.5 yards of offense per game. However, the defense has allowed only 236.5 yards per game. And that’s with one game against Ohio State.
But while the numbers look good in the box score, analytically, the Hoosiers haven’t been impressive on defense.
Louisville has been better despite allowing 327 yards per game. Louisville’s run defense is better. The pass rush is more effective, and they’ve missed fewer tackles.
Indiana’s pass protection has also been awful. That allows Louisville to add pressure on the quarterback in this game.
The Cardinals will force more errors and have an offense that has averaged 582 yards per game this season. Jack Plummer needs to be smarter with the ball. But he’s added nearly 500 yards passing with four touchdowns. Those three interceptions have been killer, but Louisville will have plenty of holes in the running game.
Take the Cardinals against the spread at -110 betting odds.
NCAAF Pick: Louisville -10 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
