We’ve got a fantastic slate of games for Saturday. If you haven’t made any selections yet, here’s your last call. I’ve got three value picks courtesy of our computers that you should take for some profit this weekend.
- UMass -3.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Bowling Green +13 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Wake Forest -4 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Saturday, September 23, 2023 – 03:30 PM EDT at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Our AI Model believes UMass will earn a 26-19 win over New Mexico on Saturday. As a -3.5-point favorite, there’s value in UMass against the spread on Saturday.
The New Mexico Lobos and UMass Minutemen aren’t the most exciting game at 3:30 PM, but it’s one where there’s value.
Both teams only have one win this season. New Mexico beat Tennessee Tech, while UMass beat New Mexico State. There’s nothing to see here. However, someone has to win this game.
I’ve been impressed by UMass this year. They scored 14 points on Auburn, added 28 against Miami-OH, and almost defeated Eastern Michigan last weekend, 19-17. For example, this offense scored more points than California against Auburn.
On the other hand, New Mexico lost to New Mexico State, 27-17, and scored just 10 points against Texas A&M.
UMass has developed a lot more over the last year or so. The offense can run the ball at a high level, and the Minutemen’s secondary is better than New Mexico’s.
When UMass controls the clock, they’ll win this game by at least a touchdown.
NCAAF Pick: UMass -3.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Saturday, September 23, 2023 – 03:30 PM EDT at Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Our AI Model believes the Ohio Bobcats will only defeat Bowling Green 24-21 in Saturday’s matchup. However, the spread has Ohio favored by 13 points in this game. The value is on Bowling Green.
The Bowling Green Falcons don’t have much of a passing game. But the defense is good enough to keep them in every game in the MAC.
The Falcons have held teams to just 342 yards per game defensively. Opponents have earned just 178.7 yards in the air. The secondary does well, but the pass rush has made a name for itself so far. The pass rush has helped the secondary dominate.
Expect a Close Battle
That’ll likely be the case again versus Ohio. The Bobcats have only averaged 323.5 yards per game on offense. They’ve got a senior leader in Kurtis Rourke, but he’s only added two touchdowns and has two interceptions in three games.
Both teams are much better on the ground but also at stopping the run game. Ohio only really has a better quarterback. The rest of the skill positions are equal. I agree with the AI Model. This game should be a one-score game.
Take Bowling Green at +13.
NCAAF Pick: Bowling Green +13 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Saturday, September 23, 2023 – 06:30 PM EDT at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
The AI Model suggests the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will earn a 36-27 win over Georgia Tech on Saturday. Wake Forest is only -4 against the spread for this matchup at home.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 3-0 to begin the season. They’ve earned wins against Elon, Vanderbilt, and Old Dominion. None of those wins are incredible, but wins against Vanderbilt and Old Dominion are solid.
The Demon Deacons have added 440 yards per game on offense. They’ve thrown for nearly 280 yards and have rushed for 161 yards per game.
The offense relies on Mitch Griffis, the sophomore quarterback of the Demon Deacons. He’s only got a WBR of 41.1 and has three interceptions, but his eight touchdowns are still very good.
Yellow Jackets Face a Tough Challenge
Wake Forest has done a good job blocking both aspects of the game. They’ve looked good in pass protection and helped the run game develop.
On the other hand, the defense has also been outstanding. They’ve allowed 231.3 yards per game in the air but have held teams to just 93.3 yards per game on the ground. The secondary has looked lights out, and it’s never easy to run on Wake Forest.
Georgia Tech will find that out.
The Yellow Jackets lost to Ole Miss, 48-23, and only have one win against South Carolina State this season. They’ve averaged over 500 yards per game on offense, but the defense has allowed 438.3 yards per game too.
Wake Forest can score at will, but the defense will also get enough stops to defeat Georgia Tech at home.
Take the Demon Deacons at -110 betting odds.
NCAAF Pick: Wake Forest -4 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook