We’ve got plenty of college football on the slate for Week 9! Here are three bets that the AI Model likes for Saturday’s games.
- UCLA -17 (-110) at Bet365
- Washington State -6 (-110) at Unibet
- Hawaii +10.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Saturday, October 28, 2023 – 07:30 PM EDT at Rose Bowl
Our AI Model believes the UCLA Bruins will dominate the Colorado Buffaloes, 44-18. With UCLA sitting at -17, there’s still plenty of value in taking the Bruins against the spread.
The Colorado Buffaloes have the worst defense in college football. That’s a fact. They’ve allowed the most total yards per game this season. So while there’s a lot of hype around Colorado, it’s mainly due to its offense.
Strong Defense and Offense Point to Massive Blowout
However, going up against UCLA’s defense will be a major challenge for Colorado. UCLA has held teams to 282.6 yards per game, while Colorado has allowed 473.7 yards per game on defense. That’s nearly a 200-yard difference between defenses.
Shedeur Sanders is a premier quarterback. But he’s getting no time in the pocket. Against UCLA, that will be the case again on Saturday.
The Bruins are one of the most dominant pass-rushing units in college football. They’ve also got a daunting secondary and a dominant run defense.
On the other hand, UCLA has also averaged 464.4 yards per game on offense. They’ve been balanced, earning nearly 250 yards in the air and over 215 yards on the ground. Colorado won’t have any answers.
Take UCLA in a massive blowout.
Saturday, October 28, 2023 – 08:00 PM EDT at Mountain America Stadium
Our AI Model believes Washington State will defeat Arizona State 29-19. As six-point favorites, the Cougars still look like a quality play against the spread.
Washington State’s Season
The Washington State Cougars started off the season at such a high. But they’ve faded recently, losing three straight games to UCLA, Arizona, and Oregon.
However, the Cougars are still good enough to beat the bottom portion of the Pac-12. The offense is electric, adding 440 yards per game this season behind Cameron Ward.
Ward has thrown 15 touchdowns and only three interceptions this season. He’s also added 2,217 yards in the air. But for Ward to dominate in the air, the Cougars must successfully rush the football.
Washington State doesn’t always like to run the football. But they’ll need to stay balanced against an Arizona State defense that has played fairly well up to this point.
On the other hand, Washington State’s struggled against the run defensively. The good news is that Arizona State has only added 93.7 yards per game on the ground. They’d also like to pass the football more than rush it. However, the Sun Devils are playing with Trenton Bourguet under center, who has one touchdown pass and three interceptions on the season.
Let’s take the Cougars at -6. A win by a touchdown wins it for the Cougars against the spread. I agree with the AI Model.
NCAAF Pick: Washington State -6 (-110) at Unibet
Saturday, October 28, 2023 – 11:59 PM EDT at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
The AI Model suggests Hawaii will earn a 33-29 win over San Jose State on Saturday, 33-29. With Hawaii sitting at +10.5 at Caesars Sportsbook, one of our top sportsbooks, there’s plenty of reason to take Hawaii on Saturday night.
The San Jose State Spartans have won their most recent matchups against New Mexico and Utah State. The offense has been electric, adding over 90 points in those two games combined.
The Spartans have added 388.5 yards per game, including over 160 yards on the ground. They play the best in the run game behind Kairee Robinson, who has 11 touchdowns on 94 carries, averaging 6.1 yards per attempt.
Hawaii’s Offensive Strength
But their offense is comparable to Hawaii’s. Hawaii has a junior thrower in Brayden Schager, who has thrown for 2,433 yards with 20 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He’ll need to tone down the interceptions, but he’s been a dominant thrower for Hawaii this year. He’s also playing with better receivers and an offense line that has protected him well enough this season.
The Rainbow Warriors rarely run the football. But when they decide to commit to the run for a drive or two, they’ll have success. San Jose State has allowed 197 yards per game on the ground this year. They’ve been poor against the run and continue to miss many tackles.
While Hawaii has also missed a lot of tackles, their run defense has been much better, allowing 177.4 yards per game on the ground. The number looks high, but that’s also because Hawaii games typically have more possessions. Still, the run defense for Hawaii should get stops against San Jose State.
Therefore, at +10.5, I’ll ride this game out with Hawaii. They’re comparable teams. Hawaii is home and a massive underdog.
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.