SELECT SCORE:
There will be 10 conference football championships played this weekend and implications will be very important.
For those from the SEC, Michigan, Cincinnati, plus possibly Oklahoma State and Notre Dame, these will help decide the playoff picture.
For those in the other conferences, the stakes don’t carry that weight, yet one aspect is exactly the same, you are crowned the conference champion.
Betting these football games can be an exhilarating experience but also costly because upsets and sometimes stunning ones occur. Place yourself in the best position to profit from this.
Stick With the Fundamentals
Football at its core is simply a game of blocking and tackling. That’s why it is imperative to look up all the stats regarding offensive and defensive rushing yards per game and yards per carry and those allowed. This is fundamental football and if you can determine edges in this area, you could be on to something.
If you can control the line of scrimmage, that is usually a good place to find a team that beat the betting odds.
At the same time, because there are so few games, you should make time to check the stats for sacks and sacks allowed as this also fits what is important, especially with how football is played with more passing.
What Team Has the Better Quarterback?
The college football game has changed and having a top-flight quarterback who can throw has never been more important. This has been proven by the likes of Nick Saban at Alabama who for years had game-managers and now brings in QB’s with NFL skills that can spin in.
This is another area that you need an understanding of what quarterback can pass his team to a lead or bring his club back if trailing.
In the same vein, you have to know what each signal-caller is up against. Will this quarterback find a secondary of all-conference types who have hardly allowed any yards all-season or a team that plays such soft zone concepts that even when they drop eight into coverage, the person tossing the pigskin can pick them apart with ease? All of this matters.
Look For the Intangibles That Could Swing an Outcome
Next on the agenda is trying to find other elements for your college football picks. For example, how has each team played in their last three games?
If a squad is 3-0 SU and ATS and is playing better, scoring more, and allowing fewer points with similar differences in yards gained and conceded, that could be a real positive. Conversely, Team B is also 3-0 SU, yet, has only covered one point spread in that group and was outgained in two of the three contests. Which one is drawing your interest if all other factors are even? And one more aspect, let’s make Team A an underdog. Interesting right?
Also, look for turnover margins, who is better at creating miscues, or what club seldom makes those kinds of mistakes.
Lastly, let’s look for situational information. The two participants played earlier in the season. In college football, rematches are very rare, but it is still hard to beat the same team twice if they are similar in talent and by the numbers.
Or one squad lost in the title game last year and its senior-laden team has played if on a mission all year. They could draw your attention.
Betting Against the Public
In several cases, because bettors are familiar with most of the participants, the betting public will side with those they like, which most times are going to be the favorites.
When at Oddstrader.com, consider backing teams that are attracting only action in the 40’s by percentage. In the history of championship contests, they cover the spread over 57 percent of the time.
If you find a team that is below 40%, that number jumps to over 61% when supporting who the public does not recommend.
On this, we would not suggest betting this blindly, rather combine it with all the other information listed to make your best selections.
