Best NBA Computer Picks for February 1: Timberwolves to Cover Against Underestimated Warriors

D'Angelo Russell Minnesota Timberwolves Klay Thompson Warriors
D’Angelo Russell #0 of the Minnesota Timberwolves drives to the basket against Klay Thompson #11 of the Golden State Warriors on November 27, 2022. David Berding/Getty Images/AFP.

We have an exciting Wednesday night NBA slate with plenty of opportunities to make winning Wagers. Using the OddsTrader BetStation app, we can find out in which games the OddsTrader algorithm has found the biggest edges.

The free OddsTrader BetStation app is designed to give us a baseline expectation of what’s most likely to happen, so we can find the games on the NBA odds board that have the highest potential profit margin, and hammer them with appropriately sized bets.

Those margins are still pretty small: even a 5-star “deadbolt lock” is going to be a 60/40 flip at best. It’s anything but rare to end up 0-3 (or 3-0) when you make three NBA picks; more often, you’ll go 2-1 or 1-2. Let’s see which of these 3 advantage spots our money falls into today.

Toronto Raptors vs. Utah Jazz

Wednesday, February 01, 2023 – 09:00 PM EST at Vivint Arena

The Toronto Raptors visit Salt Lake City tonight to take on the Jazz. The Toronto Raptors are currently in the midst of a seven-game road trip. The Raptors are 2-2 on the trip so far. Their most recent game was a 114-106 loss to the Phoenix Suns on Monday night.

Is the Jazz for Real?

The Utah Jazz has been streaky this season. At one point in November, they were in first place in the Western Conference. Then a losing streak dropped them all the way out of the top eight in the West. Now, Utah has won four of its last six games.

They defeated the Dallas Mavericks 108-100 on Saturday night. In the game, Lauri Markkanen made another push to be an All-Star with a 29-point outing. Walker Kessler had a double-double with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Kessler has been excellent in replacing Rudy Gobert and had five blocks in the game.

The OddsTrader AI-generated model has the Utah Jazz defeating the Toronto Raptors 120-114. With a line of only -3.5, the computer has found a nice edge for us to bet.

NBA Pick: Utah Jazz -3.5 (-105) at BetMGM

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets

Wednesday, February 01, 2023 – 08:00 PM EST at Toyota Center

The Oklahoma City Thunder coming to this game on a roll, winners of six of the last seven games. They face a Houston Rockets team that is languishing in last place in the Western Conference.

The Houston Rockets were a high-scoring team but they have slowed down as of late. The recent slump dropped them to 29th in the league in points scored at 109.6 per game. Unfortunately, their defense is so far and they are 24th in the league at 117.1 points against.

Why Did the Books Post This Total So High?

When you look at their season-long totals, these are two of the higher-scoring teams in the NBA. However, both teams have slowed down lately. Over the last five games, the Thunder would have gone under tonight’s total three times in Houston would have gone under tonight’s total in all five games.

Our second AI pick has an 8.5-point edge. That is quite significant when running NBA models. The OddsTrader AI prediction has this game at 224 and the books are currently listing this total at 232.5.

NBA Pick: Under 232.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Wednesday, February 01, 2023 – 08:00 PM EST at Target Center

The Minnesota Timberwolves take on the Golden State Warriors at home tonight. The last time these two teams faced in Minneapolis, the game did not go well for the Timberwolves. The Warriors won 137-114.

The wires are coming off of 128-121 over the Oklahoma City Thunder which our computer model incorrectly predicted the Thunder would win. Now, once again, the computer model is advising us to bet against the Warriors.

Is the AI Underestimating the Warriors on the Road?

It would make sense that a computer model generating numbers off past results would not like the Warriors on the road. The Warriors are 7-18 on the road this season and 9-16 against the spread. The Warriors are the defending NBA champions and we have to be concerned that the computer model is not accurately reflecting their potential when they give their full effort.

This is an interesting juxtaposition of using statistics rather than watching the game as a fan. Still, we will put trust in the computer model to give us the correct prediction.

Bet accordingly; the AI has spoken.

NBA Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5 (-102) at SBK is your sports betting command center. Read featured betting strategy compiled from a panel of leading sports betting experts.

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