It’s been a tale of two very different teams heading into this NHL matchup, with the traveling Edmonton Oilers having won 8 of their previous 10 games, and the Philadelphia Flyers having gone 4-6 over their last 10.
Using our OddsTrader BetStation, we were able to place tonight’s NHL picks based on the information generated.
This app is freely available at your device’s app store. It will show you statistical comparisons of each matchup, information on past meetings, as well as spread movement, injury news, and even the weather forecast.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Philadelphia Flyers
Thursday, February 9, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at Wells Fargo Center
Preview
The Edmonton Oilers have gotten themselves back into the playoff race in recent weeks having won 8 of their last 10. This winning streak came at a good time as the Oilers had slipped out of the playoffs and things were looking 50/50 for a while despite “Batman” Connor McDavid literally carrying the team on his back alongside his “Robin” Leon Draisaitl.
The two players have combined for a league-high 169 points with McDavid ranked as the overall leader with 93 points, and Draisaitl ranking second having had 76 points.
At home has not been a good ice rink for the Flyers in recent games having gone 0-4 and only winning 6 of their previous 20 on home ice. The Flyers rank as one of the worst offenses in the league, which has been much of their downfall this season having only scored 2.75 goals per game, ranked as the 6th worst overall this season, as well as the fact that they are ranked the 3rd worst powerplay team in the league.
As underdogs, the Flyers have cashed at a 40% hit rate thus far this season, which in NHL odds is +150. This seems like some small value on the Flyers to win at home. Of course, this doesn’t consider they have been poor at home in recent games. The last time these two teams faced off, Edmonton won 3-0.
Stats and Trends
Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton is 8-1 in their last 9 games.
- Edmonton is 2-6 in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
- The total has gone over in 8 of Edmonton’s last 10 games.
Philadelphia Flyers
- The total has gone under in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games.
- The total has gone over in 10 of Philadelphia’s last 15 games against Edmonton.
- Philadelphia is 1-4 in their last 5 games.
The Pick
Both these teams rank inside the bottom half of the stats table in terms of goals allowed per game with Edmonton allowing 3.20 goals per game and the Flyers 3.14. There has been an average of 6.3 goals per game across these two teams’ previous five meetings.
Edmonton has seen 62% of their road games go over 6.5 goals and whilst the Flyers have seen just 44% of their home games reach the same number of goals. They have had 7+ goals scored in 80% of their previous 10 home games.
The computer is predicting a 4-3 win for the Edmonton Oilers and we believe the best pick here to be the Over 6.5 goals based on this predicted score. Yes, you could take the Oilers to win at -140 but that is way too low given they are on the road. Although they have the highest-scoring offense in the league, the Oilers can struggle when giving up a lot of goals which they are prone to doing.
Lay the juice and take the Over 6.5 goals here, or alternatively if looking to back Edmonton it might be best to hope they can get the job done in regulation at -105.
Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers 3 – Edmonton Oilers 4
NHL Pick: Over 6.5 Goals (-130) at Bet365
