The Top 5 OddsTrader NFL Computer Picks for Week 14

Amon Ra St Brown Detroit Lions Nfl
Amon-Ra St. Brown #14 of the Detroit Lions scores a touchdown in the fourth quarter of the game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Nic Antaya/Getty Images/AFP

The NFL’s Week 14 odds board is loaded with great division matchups, so we used the OddsTrader BetStation app to find the best computer-generated predictions for this week’s games.

Anyone can download the app for free from their device’s app store. It will show you statistical comparisons of each matchup, information on past meetings as well as spread movement, injury news, and even the weather forecast.

5. Vikings Feeling the Heat Yet?

Far from a first, but it is unusual to see a 10-2 team like the Minnesota Vikings as a 2.5-point road underdog against a 5-7 team like the Detroit Lions. But let’s face the facts. Both teams are 4-1 since November started, but Minnesota is the team here that got blown out 40-3, and the Lions were not fortunate enough to recover a Josh Allen fumble on a quarterback sneak for a touchdown like the Vikings did.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions

Sunday, December 11, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at Ford Field

The Lions have played the Vikings very well under Dan Campbell going back to last year. They nearly got them late for a win in the first meeting in 2021, losing on a last-second field goal from distance. Jared Goff threw a game-winning touchdown in the final seconds to get the Lions’ first win of the season last year, and he had the Lions up 10 points in the fourth quarter this year before the Vikings came back.

It is one of six fourth-quarter comebacks for these Vikings, which leads the league. Minnesota is also 9-0 in close games, which is how a team gets to 10-2 despite only a plus-10 scoring differential.

But the Lions are playing good offense and defense right now, Goff is dealing, the skill players are healthy, and the team has a good read on what the Vikings do. Justin Jefferson had a career-low 14 yards in Week 3 against Detroit. Minnesota barely escaped the Jets because of some bad goal-line plays by New York.

The Betting Pick

You can guarantee if the Lions get to the 1-yard line, the ball is going to Jamaal Williams, and he is scoring a touchdown for the 15th time this year.

Trust the Lions to get it done at home and end Minnesota’s close-game winning streak.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Lions 28 – Vikings 24

OddsTrader NFL Spread Pick: Lions -2.5 (+102) at SBK

4. Buffalo’s Revenge or Mike White’s Legend?

The Buffalo Bills (9-3) are back in position for the No. 1 seed, but they first have to deal with a pesky New York Jets (7-5) team that already beat them 20-17 after Josh Allen was intercepted twice.

The Bills are a 9.5-point home favorite in a game with a total of 43.5 points.

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets

Sunday, December 11, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at Highmark Stadium

The last meeting was the one where Allen injured his elbow on the final drive. Since that injury, Allen has played well but maybe not up to MVP form like how he started the season. Still, the Bills are scoring at least 24 points every game, they’ve won their last three, and the running game has started to take off with rookie James Cook.

The only bad news is the Von Miller torn ACL that has ended his season. That’s good news for Mike White, the new starting quarterback of the Jets. He tossed four interceptions against the Bills last year, but otherwise, he has been pretty good in his starts the last two seasons, often throwing for over 300 yards and giving the Jets a passing attack we are not used to seeing from them.

Most of White’s picks came in the second half, when Buffalo was ahead by 21 or more points. It will be important for White to protect the ball better and not fuel any scoring explosions for the Bills.

The Betting Pick

The Jets ran the ball well on Buffalo and hopefully, they can do it again this time. But the Bills are the better team and they should prevail.

We just think the Jets can keep it close enough to cover, as they have not lost by double digits since Week 3.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Bills 25 – Jets 17

OddsTrader NFL Spread Pick: Jets +9.5 (-110) at FanDuel

3. Giants Take First Shot at Eagles

Division games can be very unpredictable, and we are only getting to see the first matchup of the Philadelphia Eagles (11-1) and New York Giants (7-5) in Week 14. The Eagles continue winning after blasting the Titans last week, while the Giants settled for a 20-20 overtime tie with Washington.

The Eagles are a 7-point road favorite with a total of 45 points.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants

Sunday, December 11, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at MetLife Stadium

The Giants have had a habit of staying close with the Eagles, but it seemingly was the only team that former quarterback Carson Wentz could come back on in the fourth quarter.

But Jalen Hurts had his first start against the Giants last year on the road, and it was arguably the worst game of his NFL career. His Eagles lost 13-7 and Hurts threw a career-high three interceptions. He also completed just 14-of-31 passes for 129 yards.

Hurts has grown a lot this year and is the second-leading MVP candidate in a tight race with Patrick Mahomes. He only has three interceptions all season.

Daniel Jones has won his last two starts against the Eagles, but this will be a tougher matchup with how complete of a football team the Eagles have in 2022. The Giants are 1-3-1 in their last five games with only a win over lowly Houston.

The Betting Pick

An upset does not feel likely, but we like the BetStation’s prediction for the Giants to at least get a cover in this key divisional matchup in the NFC East.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Eagles 24 – Giants 20

OddsTrader NFL Spread Pick: Giants +6.5 (-102) at FanDuel

2. Tua vs. Herbert Moved to Prime Time

Originally a Sunday afternoon game, the Miami Dolphins (8-4) and Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) have been flexed to prime time. Unfortunately, both teams lost last week in disappointing efforts on the road. Miami is still in good shape for the playoffs, but the Chargers are starting to fade down the stretch.

The Dolphins are a 3-point road favorite with a total of 51.5 points.

Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Sunday, December 11, 2022 – 08:20 PM EST at SoFi Stadium

Things started so well for these teams in Week 13. Tua Tagovailoa hit a 75-yard touchdown pass on the first play of the game for Miami against the 49ers, but the Dolphins only scored 17 points by the end of the game and Jaylen Waddle was injured.

The Chargers were up 10-0 in Las Vegas after an early pick-six, but Justin Herbert only led the offense to 13 points in the game and was sacked five times by a bad Vegas defense. It was another one-dimensional attack with the running game not there.

This is not the first matchup between 2020 draft mates Herbert and Tua. They met as rookies in 2020 in a 29-21 game won by Miami where neither quarterback passed for 200 yards.

With the way both quarterbacks and their offensive lines looked last week, this may not be that big of a shootout either, despite the high projected total. Tua had a little ankle injury during the game and was inaccurate, which is not something we have seen from him this year.

The Chargers have been struggling to field a healthy offense with some key skill player always missing in action. Herbert’s 6.5 yards per pass attempt is a full yard below where he was in 2021.

The Betting Pick

The game may end up being entertaining to watch, but it does not feel like a real shootout given the current state of these offenses. Only one of the last five Los Angeles games since the bye week has hit 50 points, and that involved Patrick Mahomes. We’ll stick with the under here.

Using the OddsTrader BetStation, we have identified PointsBet as offering the best price and at a much better number as you can get a full extra point above the total to take the under.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Dolphins 28 – Chargers 23

OddsTrader NFL Spread Pick: Under 52.5 (-110) at BetMGM

1. Same Old Story with the Broncos and Chiefs

The game that was supposed to be on Sunday night this week was the Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) making their first trip to the Denver Broncos (3-9) in the Russell Wilson era. Wilson was supposed to be the catalyst to ending this 13-game losing streak Denver has against Kansas City, but now, we’re just wondering if Denver can score 13 points.

You know the Broncos are doing a terrible job when NBC decides to pass on featuring Patrick Mahomes in prime time. Alas, the Chiefs are a 9.5-point road favorite with a total of 44 points.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos

Sunday, December 11, 2022 – 04:05 PM EST at Empower Field at Mile High

Last week brought disappointment for both teams as the Chiefs lost a third game by three points to the Bengals in 2022 to lose control of the No. 1 seed. The Chiefs should rebound in this one, though the Denver defense has rarely made things easy on Mahomes, who despite the unbeaten record, has left five trips to Denver with three wins that required points in the fourth quarter and a dislocated kneecap in 2019.

Mahomes has six games where he did not pass for more than 200 yards in his career, and three of them were against Denver. He only got past the Drew Lock-led Broncos by a 28-24 final last year after Melvin Gordon fumbled in the fourth quarter and it was returned for a game-winning touchdown.

The under is an incredible 11-1 in Denver games this season. The Broncos just lost 10-9 to the Ravens, who were led by backup quarterback Tyler Huntley. This team has failed to score 17 points in all but two games this season. It is a great opportunity for the Kansas City defense to look better after struggling so much with Joe Burrow and company.

The Betting Pick

The Broncos also could be short on No. 1 receiver Courtland Sutton, who left Sunday’s game with a pesky hamstring injury. Regardless of Mahomes’ presence, we really like the under once again in a Denver game.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Chiefs 24 – Broncos 15

OddsTrader NFL Total Pick: Under 44 (-110) at BetMGM

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