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The Top 5 OddsTrader NFL Computer Picks for Week 9

By OddsTrader
Last Update November 3, 2022

marcus mariota piladelphia eagles rb nfl — Marcus Mariota 1 of the Atlanta Falcons scrambles against the Carolina Panthers during the first quarter at Mercedes Benz Stadium Todd KirklandGetty ImagesAFP

Using the OddsTrader BetStation app, we are treated to computer-generated predictions for each game on the NFL’s Week 9 slate this weekend.

The app is free to download and will show you statistical comparisons of each matchup, information on past meetings as well as spread movement, injury news, and even the weather forecast.

We ranked the top five picks (spreads or totals) from the OddsTrader app for Week 9 in the NFL, including which online sportsbook to find the best price, one of the many perks of using the app.

5. Bills Looking to Dominate Jets

Our first top pick of Week 9 is an AFC East matchup between the conference-leading Buffalo Bills (6-1) and the New York Jets (5-3).

The Jets may be a surprise at 5-3, but this team is still a work in progress, hence a 12.5-point spread at home with a total of 47 points. The Bills should be ready to score points in this one.

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets

Sunday, November 06, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at MetLife Stadium

When Buffalo played Green Bay in Week 8, it almost felt like the Bills were bored when the game was 27-10. Instead of burying the opponent, Josh Allen got careless with some throws and tossed two interceptions that helped get the Packers a little closer without ever really threatening to win the game.

But it did lead to the Bills not covering the spread, and Allen slipped a hair in the MVP odds where he is still a strong leader going into November.

Jets Have Been Struggling

This could be a great matchup for the Bills to light up the Jets as they did at this site a year ago when they won 45-17. In that game, Allen was razor sharp with 366 yards, helping Stefon Diggs (162) and Gabriel Davis (103) to over 100 yards.

The Jets have been feasting on a lot of back-ups and benched quarterbacks this season, so the defense is not as good as the numbers suggest.

The Jets really struggled with backup quarterback Mike White throwing four interceptions. Zach Wilson is the quarterback this week, but he just threw three picks against the Patriots in a loss. The Jets are going to struggle without Breece Hall, their big-play threat at running back after his season-ending injury.

The Betting Pick and Prediction

But this is a game where the Bills could do much of the heavy lifting for hitting the over. We have already seen them beat the Titans 41-7 earlier this season.

This game should be closer than that, but the over is a good bet with the Bills looking to go over 30 points for the first time since Week 5.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Bills 30 – Jets 18

OddsTrader NFL Total Pick: Over 46 Points (-107) at PointsBet

4. Will the Real Aaron Rodgers Please Stand Up?

The Green Bay Packers are 3-5 after losing their fourth game in a row. The Detroit Lions are 1-6 and have the worst record and defense in the NFL.

This would always be a bounce-back spot for Aaron Rodgers in the past, but is the talent around him too bad and is he too old to do it this year? The Packers are still a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 49.5 points.

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions

Sunday, November 06, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at Ford Field

Detroit Lions Defensive Issues

The Lions have been so disappointing on defense, ranking dead last in points, yards, first downs, net yards per pass attempt, and rushing touchdowns.

Whether by passing or running, this defense is getting shredded on a weekly basis. The offense was great enough early in the season to make the games tight, but even that has gone away with the offense failing to break 7 points in 10 of the last 12 quarters.

Packers Are Not Doing Too Well Either

But what a rough losing streak for the Packers. Rodgers’ numbers do not look horrible: 64.1% complete, seven touchdowns, one interception, and a 93.6 passer rating. But he is averaging just 5.97 yards per attempt, a last-in-the-league type of number as he fails to push the ball down the field, move the chains, and score many points.

The Packers also just have a lifeless look to them during this losing streak. The running back duo, Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon, found some holes against the Bills and helped the offense get down the field, but it is unclear if the Packers will try to build off that moving forward.

It is hard to take the ball out of Rodgers’ hands, but with his declining skills and a lack of healthy receiving talent around him, it might be the best thing for this team this season without Davante Adams.

The Betting Pick and Prediction

The Lions have given the Packers some trouble in Detroit over the years, even when Green Bay had better teams than this.

With the offense having the ability to move Amon-Ra St. Brown around and away from corner Jaire Alexander, the Lions should be able to score in this matchup.

We may not be all in on OddsTrader’s pick of a Detroit win, but covering the spread looks like a great pick for this matchup.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Lions 27 – Packers 25

OddsTrader NFL Spread Pick: Lions +3.5 (-101) at SBK

3. Two Hot NFC Teams Meet in Washington

The Minnesota Vikings are 6-1 and winners of five straight with a 5-0 record in close games this season. The Washington Commanders were an afterthought with a 1-4 start, but they have won three in a row, including two straight as an underdog behind quarterback Taylor Heinicke, who is an improvement over Carson Wentz.

Can the Commanders deliver again as a 3.5-point underdog in a game with a total of 43.5 points?

Minnesota Vikings vs. Washington Commanders

Sunday, November 06, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at FedExField

It feels like most of the NFL world is waiting for the other shoe to drop on this Minnesota team, which continues pulling out one-score games against a less-than-stellar schedule. The scoreboard has been kinder than the yardage rankings for the team, as the Vikings are 15th on offense and 28th on defense.

We’ll see how the trade for tight end T.J. Hockenson works out, but he was a disappointment for the Lions. Kirk Cousins played his former team once in 2019 and he was 23-of-26 for 285 yards in a 19-9 win. But that was a 3-13 Washington team with the worst offense in football.

What Should We Expect From Washington?

This Washington team is playing better now with Heinicke’s mobility helping him get the ball to his playmakers, including Terry McLaurin, who was very clutch in Indianapolis to pull out that comeback win.

The defense really struggles to get takeaways, but it has been keeping the scoreboard down in recent weeks. None of Washington’s last four opponents have topped 20 points after each of the first four did. If this team could have scored from the 2-yard line against Tennessee, we’d be talking about a four-game winning streak.

The Betting Pick and Prediction

It’s not that OddsTrader is necessarily predicting a tie, but the teams are so close in the prediction that it is a good sign for value with Washington covering the spread in another close one.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Commanders 20 – Vikings 20

OddsTrader NFL Spread Pick: Commanders +3.5 (-111) at PointsBet

2. Will the Bengals Bounce Back?

The Carolina Panthers (2-6) were one less celebration penalty and one more extra point away from making the NFC South a four-way tie at 3-5 records.

The Bengals fell to 4-4 after falling flat on their faces in Cleveland again as Joe Burrow is now 0-4 against the Browns in his career. This game has the Bengals as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 42.5 points.

Carolina Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Sunday, November 06, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at Paycor Stadium

The stock is up on Carolina after showing a competent offense the last two weeks behind quarterback P.J. Walker and running back D’Onta Foreman, who has rushed for 118 yards in back-to-back weeks. Walker also unlocked D.J. Moore in Atlanta after Baker Mayfield could not get the talented receiver the ball in his starts.

What about Cincinnati?

But if a running back and wide receiver was all it took to get the Panthers going from being the No. 32 offense, then what is Cincinnati’s excuse?

Ja’Marr Chase is out with a fractured hip, but Burrow still has Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd at wide receiver and Joe Mixon at running back. This offense is more than capable of playing better than it showed on Monday without Chase, the first full game without him this year.

We’ll see what happens, but chances are the Panthers have stumbled onto some division familiarity success the last two weeks against Tampa Bay and Atlanta.

Those are teams they know well. This is an unfamiliar opponent, and Cincinnati always gets a much better Burrow performance at home. They also just have been owned by Kevin Stefanski’s Browns since 2020, so it should help that they won’t see a pass rusher like Myles Garrett (or T.J. Watt) this week.

The Betting Pick and Prediction

Trust the Bengals to rebound at home and take care of the Panthers to get back to a winning record.

OddsTrader NFL Final Score Prediction: Bengals 26 – Panthers 17

OddsTrader NFL Spread Pick: Bengals -7.5 (+106) at SBK

1. Which Team Do You Trust to Blow It More?

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-3) and Atlanta Falcons (4-4) could write a book on how to blow games they should have won in the fourth quarter.

These teams are basically the mirror of one another in each conference, so this could be a fun game with the Chargers a 3-point favorite coming off the bye week. The over/under is one of the weekend’s highest at 49.5 points.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons

Sunday, November 06, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at Mercedes-Benz Stadium

The Falcons just played in an unexpected contender for Game of the Year against the Panthers, a game that saw numerous lead changes in the fourth quarter. The Chargers are used to such games, though things have been tougher this year for Justin Herbert and the offense.

A few too many injuries are catching up to the Chargers again at key positions, including Herbert’s ribs in Week 2. Maybe the bye week will help him feel the best he has since September, but this offense is not producing as expected.

Los Angeles Chargers Deffense

The defense is also not improved and has already lost Joey Bosa and J.C. Jackson to injury. The Falcons have barely been throwing the ball, but the Chargers do not put a premium on stopping the run, so this could be an ideal matchup for Atlanta’s run-heavy offense to thrive on long drives with Marcus Mariota having a season better than anyone expected.

Mariota’s most impactful game as a backup to Derek Carr with the Raiders was coming off the bench and taking the Chargers into overtime. Could we be headed for a fifth quarter again in this one? That would only help hit the over.