Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Best Bets

This week marks an exciting and highly anticipated fight week in Las Vegas. The sporting world’s attention is focused on the upcoming event at the T-Mobile Arena.

Canelo Alvarez, the undisputed super middleweight champion, will put his title on the line in what promises to be an extraordinary headlining match. This fight is particularly special because Alvarez will be facing off against Jermell Charlo, the undisputed junior middleweight champion. This clash of champions will be the first-ever four-belt vs. four-belt battle in men’s boxing history.

Read on for our complete betting guide with an early preview of the Las Vegas main event clash between Canelo and Charlo, including updated boxing odds from our top sportsbooks and our free expert first-look betting picks, predictions, and analysis.

Picks Summary

• Will the Fight Go the Distance/Yes (-250) at Bet365
• Canelo Alvarez By Decision or Technical Decision (-120) at Bet365

Canelo vs. Charlo: Undisputed vs. Undisputed Information

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 – 11:00 PM EDT
• Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
• Scheduled Bouts: 12
• Main Event: Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo
• Moneyline Probability: Canelo – 80% (-400) / Charlo – 25% (+300)

Undisputed vs. Undisputed Main Event Profiles

Canelo Alvarez

Canelo, at the age of 33, has achieved remarkable success in the world of boxing.

This upcoming fight, where he will be defending his super middleweight titles from the WBC, WBA, IBF, and WBO against Charlo, is being hailed as a monumental moment in the sport. If Charlo were to emerge victorious, he would join the esteemed company of boxing legends such as Sugar Ray Leonard and Roy Jones Jr., showcasing his bold move across two weight classes.

Canelo, who hails from Guadalajara, has already secured titles in four different weight categories and is now aiming for another historic triumph. His list of past opponents includes renowned boxing icons like Golovkin and Mayweather. Canelo is excited for this showdown, acknowledging Charlo’s impressive track record and eagerly anticipating their upcoming bout.

Boxing Pick: Canelo Alvarez ML (-400) at Bet365

Jermell Charlo

Jermell Charlo, the pride of Houston, has experienced a rapid ascent in his career. His most recent triumph, a knockout against Brian Castaño, firmly established his position among the top boxers.

Under the guidance of Derrick James, who was honored as the 2022 “Trainer of the Year,” Charlo’s progress has been exceptional. In 2016, he and his twin brother Jermall even made boxing history by simultaneously holding world championships in the same weight class.

Charlo’s enthusiasm is evident, as he views this fight as an opportunity to leave a lasting mark in the annals of boxing. While acknowledging Canelo’s skills, Charlo assures fans they will witness an extraordinary performance as he brings his ‘Lions Only’ mentality to the ring.

In Charlo’s own words: “After the fight, people will have no choice but to acknowledge that I am the best fighter in the sport.”

Boxing Pick: Jermell Charlo ML (+300) at Bet365

Canelo vs. Charlo: Tale of the Tape

Canelo vs. Charlo Skillset Analysis: Styles Make Fights

Jermell considers this to be the most significant bout of his career, making it a defining moment for his legacy. Under the guidance of Derrick James, he views this as the pinnacle of his achievements, ensuring that he will showcase his absolute best self inside the ring on fight night.

The Challenger

Jermell possesses an aggressive and formidable style, excelling in delivering swift and powerful counters. His signature move is the forceful right hand, which he throws with precision and speed. He relentlessly pursues opportunities to land this devastating punch, complemented by his exceptional jab.

Additionally, he poses a serious threat in close quarters with his compact yet potent hooks and uppercuts. A well-timed left hook on the inside sparked his victory in the Castano rematch.

Interestingly, this same punch nearly sent him to the canvas during the third round of their initial encounter. Both Jermell and Canelo possess the rare ability to maintain their power throughout fights.

In fact, 12 of Jermell’s 19 knockouts have occurred from the midway point onwards, a feat shared by Canelo. Notably, Canelo has secured his last two knockouts in the eighth and eleventh rounds, respectively. If anything, Canelo becomes even more formidable as the fight progresses.

The Champion

Trained under the guidance of Eddy Reynoso, Canelo possesses powerful striking abilities and excels in countering his opponents. He is a versatile fighter who can adapt to various styles and effectively analyze his opponents’ strategies.

Some speculate that, at the age of 33, with 63 fights under his belt and 18 years of professional experience, Canelo may be experiencing a decline. However, there is insufficient evidence to support this claim solely based on his loss to Dmitry Bivol.

Bivol, an undefeated Russian fighter, presents a formidable challenge as he possesses a larger, heavier, and taller frame than Canelo. Moreover, Bivol is widely regarded as one of the greatest experts in judging distance in the world of boxing.

Canelo, a dominant force across four weight divisions, takes immense pride in his abilities and is determined to establish a lasting legacy for both himself and Mexico. As he steps into the ring on the final day of September, he will be equipped with the best version of himself. This allows him to silence his skeptics and prove his worth.

Canelo on Points & Fight Goes the Distance: Best Bet Formula

The boxing odds have placed Canelo as a significant betting favorite at -400, but we aren’t receiving much value from this moneyline wager.

With both fighters comfortable fighting in close quarters and exchanging heavy blows, likely, the momentum of the fight will constantly shift. Neither fighter is likely to back down easily, as they are both skilled in fighting off the ropes or taking on the role of the aggressor.

Considering the resilience shown by both boxers in the past, it is difficult to predict a knockout victory. More so when considering the fact that neither man has ever been stopped inside the distance; for this reason, backing the fight to reach the judges’ scorecards is a viable betting option.

The outcome of the fight will depend on the flawless execution of game plans, as well as the ability to analyze and adapt to the opponent’s moves quickly. The boxer who starts strong and finds their rhythm early on will have the upper hand and control the course of the contest, ultimately emerging as the victor.

Elite experience and point fighting advantages side with Canelo, making him an excellent prop bet to win this bout by decision or technical decision.

Boxing Pick: Fight Goes the Distance/Yes (-250) at Bet365 [2.5u to win 1u]

Boxing Pick: Canelo by Decision (-120) at Bet365 [1.20u to win 1u]