While there are many games throughout the day, there’s still some value in the games at night. I added three best bets for the later portion of the slate using the AI Model for assistance.
Check the top three bets out below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary
- Ernie Clement Under .5 Hits (+145) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Andy Ibanez Under .5 Hits (+155) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Willy Adames Under 1.5 Total Bases (-150) at Caesars Sportsbook
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Thursday, May 01, 2025 – 07:07 PM EDT at Rogers Centre
The AI Model projects Ernie Clement will add .495 hits in tonight’s game. Yet, you can find his Under .5 hits at +145. Ultimately, the line should be around +100 according to our model, so you’re getting a steal at +145.
Ernie Clement Bats 9th For a Reason!
The Blue Jays will send out a lineup against Tanner Houck with Ernie Clement at the bottom of it. The Blue Jays have all struggled to hit for power against righties. Clement is no different. He’s added a .000 ISO and wOBA of .119 with no walks against right-handed pitching this season.
On the other hand, he’ll battle Houck, who has limited his first 57 righties to a .094 ISO and wOBA of .302 this season. Righties have hit 23.8% of fly balls and only 21.4% of line drives against Houck.
Houck has also allowed just a 4.8% barrel percentage against righties and has added over 23% of whiffs against righties. Clement doesn’t have much of a chance analytically.
The Pick
Side with the AI Model and take Clement to add under .5 hits tonight.
MLB Pick: Ernie Clement Under .5 Hits (+145) at Bet365
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Thursday, May 01, 2025 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model likes Andy Ibáñez to record .486 hits in tonight’s game for the Tigers. However, his hit line is at .5 with the under inflated to +155. That’s got value written all over it.
Andy Ibanez Is Unlucky!
Andy Ibáñez has actually performed well analytically this season. But he’s been unlucky, and there are no signs that this will change anytime soon.
He’s in line to face Yusei Kikuchi of the Angels. The left-hander has struggled a little against righties this season. However, last year, Kikuchi held right-handed hitters to a .150 ISO and a wOBA of .304. Eventually, he’ll get back to those numbers against righties.
Conversely, Ibanez has a .300 wOBA and a BABIP of .148. He’s struggled to hit the ball with the barrel of his bat, which is one of the main reasons why he’s struggling to get on base despite making contact almost all of the time against lefties.
The Pick
The unlucky at-bats will likely continue for Ibanez until he hits with the barrel more.
MLB Pick: Andy Ibanez Under .5 Hits (+155) at Caesars Sportsbook
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
Thursday, May 01, 2025 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
Our AI Model predicts Willy Adames will only add .724 total bases for the Giants tonight. Meanwhile, you can find his under 1.5 total bases at -150. Grab it!
Willy Adames Has Struggled Against Lefties!
The Colorado Rockies will pitch Kyle Freeland for tonight’s game. The left-handed has only struck out 15.5% of right-handed batters. However, he’s still limited righties to a .112 ISO and only 3.9% of walks. Additionally, Freeland has limited righties to 9.6% of fly balls and 56.6% of ground balls. He’s been very good for the Rockies in a terrible season.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Willy Adames in the Giants’ lineup. Adames is one of the few right-handed batters who has struggled against lefties in the San Francisco lineup. He’s hit just a .000 ISO and wOBA of .131 with 30.2% of strikeouts and 7% of walks against lefties this season. He’s shown no power and has hit only 11.1% of line drives with a 3.7% barrel percentage.
A new contract and a change of scenery haven’t helped Adames as much as he had hoped.
The Pick
Let’s back Adames to go Under 1.5 total bases.
MLB Pick: Willy Adames Under 1.5 Total Bases (-150) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
