The computers at Oddstrader continue to give us great value plays in the MLB. Here are three more to look at for today’s slate of games in the MLB.
Picks Summary
- Rangers ML (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Angels ML (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Mets vs. Red Sox Over 9.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Texas Rangers
Sunday, July 23, 2023 – 02:35 PM EDT at Globe Life Field
Our AI Model believes the Rangers will win today’s game, 6.5-5. With the Rangers sitting underdogs on most books, the value is eye-popping. The Dodgers destroyed the Rangers yesterday, but it’s a new day today.
Emmet Sheehan will take the hill for the Dodgers. He’s allowed a .333 ISO and wOBA of .401 to his last 39 lefties. The Rangers no longer have Corey Seager in the lineup, but Nathaniel Lowe is still sitting in that three-spot for the Rangers.
The lefties have hit a .353 wOBA and have struck out only 15.2% of the time against righties over the last month for the Rangers. Texas still has a lot of potential tonight.
On the other hand, Martin Perez hasn’t been any better, but he’s limited righties to a .167 ISO over the last month. He typically won’t earn many strikeouts but if he can keep the ball in the yard, the Rangers will have a legitimate chance at winning this game.
It’s hard to ever bet against the Dodgers, but there is serious value on the Rangers, at home, without Corey Seager. Many bettors will blindly bet on the Dodgers, knowing Seager is out.
However, the Rangers match up well offensively too.
MLB Pick: Rangers ML (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Angels
Sunday, July 23, 2023 – 04:07 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
Top online sportsbooks believe that the Angels will win today’s game, 5.7-4.4. The Angels are currently just -125 favorites at home against the Pirates in today’s series finale.
Mitch Keller’s first half was phenomenal, but he’s falling off a little bit. Over the last 30 days, lefties have hit a .264 ISO and wOBA of .390 against Keller.
The Angels have Shohei Ohtani, Mickey Moniak, Mike Moustakas, Matt Thaiss, and Trey Cabbage, all of whom are hitting a high ISO and wOBA against righties as left-handed batters.
Meanwhile, Tyler Anderson will get the start for the Angels. He’s a veteran lefty who has at least improved over the last 30 days. He will likely not be challenged very much with this Pirates offense. The Pirates hit a .051 ISO and wOBA of .249 against lefties last month. They’ve also struck out nearly 39% of the time.
Anderson has struck out 24.6% of righties in the last month and will face all nine batters from the right side in today’s game.
I’ll trust Anderson and the Angels in this spot. They match up very well and are just -125 favorites. Our AI Model is on to something!
MLB Pick: Angels ML (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox
Sunday, July 23, 2023 – 07:10 PM EDT at Fenway Park
The AI Model suggests that the Red Sox will earn a 6.2-5.7 victory over the Mets in tonight’s ESPN Sunday Night Baseball telecast. The total is currently at 9.5, but the AI model has a total reaching nearly 12 runs.
Carlos Carrasco will take the hill for the Mets tonight. That usually means there will be runs. Carrasco has allowed an ISO of .212 and wOBA of .359 throughout the season. He’ll have multiple great innings but one inning that ruins everything.
The Red Sox have hit a .219 ISO and wOBA of .358 against righties over the last 30 days. There’s a lot of power in this lineup, as we saw last night, with the Red Sox hitting four home runs against Max Scherzer. Meanwhile, Brennan Bernardino will get the start for the Red Sox. He’ll be an opener for Boston. Therefore, they’ll be using their bullpen for tonight’s game.
The Mets aren’t hitting at a high level, but the offense is at least putting the ball in play and making things happen recently. They added five and six runs in their first two games against the Red Sox. And they probably should’ve scored more with how many runners they kept on base.
Let’s grab the Over 9.5 in this matchup at the MLB odds board. The AI Model has this game earning nearly 12 runs. I agree and will be riding this bet as well.
MLB Pick: Over 9.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
