With a full slate of games in the MLB, I’ve asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets for tonight. The Model has been blazing hot, so you won’t want to miss out on these three bets I discussed below.
The Picks
- Kike Hernandez Under 0.5 Hits (+150) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits (+120) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits (-120) at Bet365
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Friday, May 09, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
The AI Model projects Kike Hernandez will add only .353 hits tonight. Yet, his total hits prop is stuck at .5, with the under at +150. That’s an absolute monster play.
It’s Not The Playoffs Yet!
Kike Hernandez will likely get the start for the Dodgers tonight. It’s more than likely he’ll bat near the bottom of the order. So far, he’s hit a .571 ISO and wOBA of .508 against his last eight lefties. However, Hernandez historically doesn’t perform very well until the playoffs come around. This likely won’t last.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Eduardo Rodriguez of the Diamondbacks. Rodriguez has struck out 25.8% of righties and has limited walks to 7.3%. He’s also allowed just 19.3% of fly balls and has only given up 36.1% of hard contact against righties.
On the other hand, Hernandez has hit only 16.7% of line drives against lefties over the last month. He’s also added a .200 BABIP against lefties, which means he’s only added a hit 20% of the time he puts the ball in play against lefties.
Grab Kike Hernandez to go Under .5 hits. The AI Model has been on point this year.
MLB Pick: Kike Hernandez Under 0.5 Hits (+150) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Friday, May 09, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
The AI Model thinks Nathan Lukes will earn .434 hits tonight for the Blue Jays. However, his prop line is at .5, with the under at +120. There’s another plus-money banger to consider!
Can Nathan Lukes Continue Hot HItting!
The Blue Jays will likely bat Nathan Lukes last in the lineup tonight. However, he’s done alright, hitting a .161 ISO and wOBA of .363 against his last 39 righties.
The left-hander has actually earned more walks than strikeouts against righties this season.
However, he’s facing one of the more difficult righties in the MLB tonight. Luis Castillo has limited his first 165 batters to a .109 ISO and wOBA of .298 with 46.6% of ground balls and only 16.9% of line drives allowed.
Lukes has only hit 31% of hard contact and a 3.4% barrel percentage against righties. As a result, his BABIP is up to just .286. That’s nothing to get excited about.
I’ll back Nathan Lukes to go Under .5 hits since he’s got a matchup against Luis Castillo tonight.
MLB Pick: Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits (+120) at Caesars Sportsbook
New York Yankees vs. Athletics
Friday, May 09, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
Our AI Model predicts Jorbit Vivas will add .412 hits tonight. His prop is also at .5, but the under is at -120. There’s a lot of value in fading Vivas tonight.
Don’t Invest In Jorbit Vivas!
The Yankees have used Jorbit Vivas at second base lately. The left-hander has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .228 with 28.6% of strikeouts against righties this season. Ultimately, he’s batting 9th in the lineup and is easily the weakest link in the Yankees’ lineup.
Vivas will battle Osvaldo Bido, who hasn’t been great against lefties this year. Yet, he’s still held lefties to a .299 wOBA this season, while allowing only 21.3% of line drives.
Ultimately, Bido gave up a .069 ISO and wOBA of .227 last season. He’s been consistently good at limiting damage from lefties this year. Take Vivas to go Under .5 hits at -120.
MLB Pick: Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits (-120) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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