It’s a busy Monday with 11 games on the MLB board, and after running the numbers with our AI Model, I’ve narrowed it down to the top three player props. Check them out below.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Monday, August 11, 2025 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model thinks Yoshinobu Yamamoto will give up 3.95 hits in tonight’s game. Yet, his prop is set at 4.5, with the under at just +100. The AI Model thinks Yamamoto will pitch well, and so do I.
Yamamoto Looks Sensational!
Yoshinobu Yamamoto was expected to be one of the best pitchers in the game when he first came over to the big leagues last year.
He’s reached that peak already.
Over the last month, Yamamoto has struck out 30.6% of batters and has allowed a .033 ISO and wOBA of .203 against his last 98 batters.
He’s also walked just 5.1% of batters and has earned 50% of ground balls with 11.3% of fly balls allowed. These are wicked numbers.
Plus, he’s facing an Angels lineup that has collectively hit a .147 ISO and wOBA of .314 with 27% of strikeouts. The Angels have six players who have struck out at a high rate over the last month, which should help Yamamoto get through the lineup with ease.
Let’s back Yamamoto to allow below 4.5 hits in tonight’s game for the Dodgers.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
Monday, August 11, 2025 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
Our AI Model believes Logan Webb will record 6.944 strikeouts. Yet, his prop is at 5.5, with the Over at +130. This bet has some insane value.
Logan Webb Deserves Credit!
When fans talk about the best pitchers in the game, Logan Webb’s name doesn’t come up. However, he’s been electric all season long.
Webb has limited his last 101 batters to a .121 ISo and wOBA of .370. He’s also added nearly 51% of ground balls and has struck out almost 26% of batters.
The Padres are super impatient at the plate, which should allow for Webb to get ahead of counts. He’s already earned nearly 26% of strikeouts over the last month and has been super consistent all year.
If he gets in pitcher’s counts, he’ll put away many Padres in tonight’s game.
Let’s roll with Mr. Consistent to earn at least six strikeouts.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
Monday, August 11, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
Our AI Model predicts Jake Mangum will earn .623 total bases in tonight’s game for the Rays. However, his prop is currently at 1.5, with the under at -180. Even at -180, there’s +17.2% positive expected value.
Nothing Is Easy For Jake Mangum!
Jake Mangum is a switch-hitter. But maybe he should consider just hitting from the left side.
As a right-handed batter, over the last month, he’s hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .000 with no walks against lefties.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Jeffrey Springs of the Athletics, who has limited his last 80 righties to a .306 wOBA. Springs has also limited walks and isn’t falling behind in counts frequently.
Additionally, Mangum has hit 68.4% of ground balls against lefties and not a single ball on the barrel over the last month. He’s also hit 10.5% of fly balls and just 15.8% of line drives. That’s ultimately not going to cut it against Springs.
I’m on Mangum to add below 1.5 total bases tonight.
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
