It’s the start of the weekend, with so many different series and matchups beginning. We’ve found three MLB player props that we’ll be firing on using the OddsTrader tool. Will you tail?
- Miles Mikolas Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-143) at BetMGM
- Tanner Houck Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-139) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Patrick Sandoval To Get the Win (+120) at Caesars Sportsbook
Friday, June 16, 2023 – 07:10 PM EDT at Citi Field
The New York Mets have struck out just 20.7% of the time against righties over the last month with their projected lineup. Only four batters have struck out more than 22.4% of the time against righties in the last month.
They’ve also hit a .186 ISO and wOBA of .335 against righties in the last month, which is about average.
They’ll face Miles Mikolas, who has been putting up a ton of zeroes recently. However, balls are still being put into play. Mikolas has struck out just 14.7% of batters in his last 129 plate appearances.
Mikoals Can’t Sustain Success
Mikolas has a .257 BABIP over the last month. It will be hard to sustain that, especially when Mikolas has below-average numbers with swinging strike, whiff, and CSWhiff percentages.
Mikolas has also allowed 40.6% of hard contact and 28.3% of line drives. Let’s take his Under here.
MLB Pick: Miles Mikolas Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-143) at BetMGM
Friday, June 16, 2023 – 07:10 PM EDT at Fenway Park
Tanner Houck has earned 26.7% of strikeouts over the last month. That’s way above his season average of 22.6%.
Houck’s numbers are trending upwards. He’s allowed 8.1% of walks and has held righties to a .056 ISO and wOBA of .308.
The Yankees’ projected lineup against righties has struck out 25.3% of the time in the last month. This lineup has seven batters striking out at least 22.7% of the time and five batters striking out at least 29% of the time.
Houck has a lot of potential in the strikeout category tonight. New York has also combined to hit a .276 wOBA against righties in the last month with this lineup and has walked just 5.1% of the time.
The Yankees are swinging early and attacking but not making much contact. That’ll help Houck keep his pitch count low, and his innings pitched high.
He’s earning a 33.8% whiff percentage and 32.8% CWWhiff percentage. He’s also earning 16% swinging strikes over the last month.
I’ll take my chances with Houck, hoping he’ll strike out six batters.
MLB Pick: Tanner Houck Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-139) at Caesars Sportsbook
Friday, June 16, 2023 – 08:10 PM EDT at Kauffman Stadium
Patrick Sandoval hasn’t earned a high rate of strikeouts. But he’ll likely get plenty in tonight’s game against the Royals.
Kansas City has struck out 29% of the time against lefties using their projected lineup in the last month.
The Royals have seven batters striking out at least 24.2% of the time and five batters striking out at least 29.4% of the time.
Although Sandoval has also earned 14.3% of strikeouts in the last month, his strikeout numbers should increase after tonight’s game.
Sandoval has also limited teams to a .092 ISO and wOBA of .332. He’s held teams to 14.7% of fly balls and has earned 48% of ground balls. When balls are put in play, Sandoval does an excellent job of limiting damage.
The Royals lineup has hit a .123 ISO and wOBA of .305 and has walked only 4.3% of the time against lefties over the last month.
Meanwhile, The Angels are hitting a .161 ISO against righties and will face Brady Singer. Singer has been dreadful all season, allowing an ISO of .215 and wOBA of .371 over the last month.
The Angels will have at least four lefties in the lineup, including Shohei Ohtani, who has been red hot at the plate.
The Royals likely won’t get any offense in tonight’s game, but the Angels should be able to tact on runs against Singer, who has a 6.58 ERA on the season.
The Angels are -150 on the moneyline. But we can get plus-money with the Angels winning if Sandoval gets the win. He will likely go deep in tonight’s game, with the Royals struggling against lefties recently.
MLB Pick: Patrick Sandoval To Get the Win (+120) at Caesars Sportsbook