The MLB slate is weak tonight. However, with five games, there are still some exciting underdog picks for tonight’s games.
Using the AI Model and the odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review), I found some options that you’ll want to consider at the online sportsbooks.
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Thursday, July 24, 2025 – 07:45 PM EDT at Busch Stadium
Our AI Model believes the Padres will lose to the Cardinals, 4.6-4.4. But as +116 underdogs, there’s clearly some value on San Diego. Consider backing the Padres with Yu Darvish on the mound tonight.
Take The Underdog In This Pitching Duel!
Yu Darvish is set to take the mound for the Padres. The right-hander has allowed a .120 ISO since returning to the big league mound. He’s also induced more than 58% of grounders and has allowed just 16.3% of fly balls.
He’s not pitching deep, but I’d expect him to get deeper in the game tonight at least.
Meanwhile, he’s set to face off against Sonny Gray, who has been just as good. Gray of the Cardinals has struck out more than 31% of batters over the last 30 days. He’s also allowed a .136 ISO and wOBA of .276 with 47.1% of ground balls and just 20% of fly balls allowed.
Gray should be just as good in this game. But it will likely come down to the bullpens in the later portion of the game. The Padres have the better bullpen. And they are also more patient, which should result in more walks to get more base runners.
That said, let’s give the Padres a try at +116 as our first underdog pick of the night.Â
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
Thursday, July 24, 2025 – 08:10 PM EDT at Daikin Park
The AI Model suggests the Athletics will only lose to the Astros by 4.3-4.0. In such a projected tight game, backing the Athletics at +110 is the ideal strategy.
Back The More Accomplished Starter!
It hasn’t been the year that Luis Severino wanted when he signed with the Athletics. He might very well get traded shortly before the deadline.
That said, he’s still pitched better on the road overall, and he’s gone about 94 pitches per start over the last month. He’ll battle an Astros lineup that has only hit a .319 wOBA against righties in the previous 30 days.
On the other hand, the Astros will side with Jason Alexander. The right-hander has allowed a .238 ISO and wOBA of .387 against his first 74 batters this season. That’s certainly not appealing, especially with the Athletics’ projected lineup having hit a .192 ISO over the last 30 days.
Let’s ride with the Athletics priced around +110.
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
Thursday, July 24, 2025 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model believes the Mariners will also only lose by .3 runs tonight. Since the Mariners are +108, it’s a good look to buy the Mariners at the underdog price in another projected close game.
Logan Evans Continues To Throw Strikes!
The Seattle Mariners will send out Logan Evans for tonight’s game against the Angels.
The right-hander isn’t adding a high rate of strikeouts. However, he’s limited his last 67 batters to 7.5% of walks and has allowed just a .150 ISO and wOBA of .365 in the previous 30 days.
Evans has earned 44% of grounders and has allowed 22% of fly balls. He’s been great. Meanwhile, the Angels were just swept by the Mets and didn’t provide much offense in that series.
On the other hand, the Angels will roll with Yusei Kikuchi.
He’s been phenomenal as well. However, the Mariners have shown off a lot of power against lefties over the last 30 days. The projected lineup has hit a .242 ISO against lefties in the previous month. In a low-scoring game, the Mariners have more power potential.
So, don’t be afraid to take the Mariners in tonight’s game. Priced around +108, they suit our underdog picks for the night.Â
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
