We’ve got a lot of games on the NBA schedule tonight! It can certainly get overwhelming. Therefore, I went to the AI Model and looked for some of the most valuable plays on the board. Here are my favorite three bets that you should consider at top-rated sportsbooks.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice! Today, our expert has covered the Pistons vs. 76ers and Magic vs. Bulls matchups.
Picks Summary
- Nets +12 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Warriors -3 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Clippers -8.5 (-110) at Bet365
Brooklyn Nets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Wednesday, October 30, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at FedEx Forum
The AI Model likes the Grizzlies to beat the Nets, 118-109. However, the Nets are 12-point underdogs in this game on the road. With the deficit only expected to be nine, the Nets at +12 is the play.
Nets Deserve More Credit
Through four games, the Nets have added 117.1 points per 100 possessions and have shot a 54.8% effective field goal percentage.
In the two areas where the Nets struggle a bit, the Grizzlies are worse defensively. The Nets have only grabbed 26% of offensive rebounds, yet the Grizzlies have allowed 34.3%. The Grizzlies have also given up a 25.6 free throw rate, so the Nets should get to the line more in this game.
I’d even predict the Nets see the foul line more than the Grizzlies in this one.
Keeping Second Chances Away
The Nets have still allowed 119.2 points per 100 possessions. That’s not ideal. But they’ve at least been able to limit second chances while being the best defensive-rebounding team in the NBA.
The Nets have allowed just 22.4% of offensive rebounds. If the Grizzlies have an off-shooting night or the Nets finally play quality defense, it’ll be hard for the Grizzlies to maximize opportunities.
The Pick
Therefore, I’m with the AI Model and think the Nets will keep tonight’s game close. Give me the Nets at +12.
NBA Pick: Nets +12 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors
Wednesday, October 30, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center
Our AI Model believes the Warriors will add a 114-109 win over the Pelicans tonight. The Warriors are the value play in tonight’s game since Golden State is projected to win by five, but the spread is at -3.
Golden State Already Took Care of Business
The Warriors faced the Pelicans last night without Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry and still added a 124-106 win over the Pelicans.
What would change in tonight’s game? Wiggins returns, and the Warriors would play even better.
Golden State’s Defense
The Golden State defense continues to shine. The Warriors have allowed just 99 points per 100 possessions and have earned 20.1% of turnovers. The Pelicans’ offense is below average, and it showed last night against an elite defense like Golden State’s.
Meanwhile, the Warriors have dominated the offensive glass and will continue against the Pelicans. The Warriors also shoot lights out from the field, hitting a 55.6% effective field goal percentage.
The Pick
Give me the Warriors to sweep the mini-series against the Pelicans. I’m with the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Warriors -3 (-110) at Bet365
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Wednesday, October 30, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model thinks the Los Angeles Clippers will win 113-104 at home over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Clippers are 8.5-point favorites but are expected to win by nine. Therefore, taking the Clippers against the spread is a safe bet.
Portland’s Offense Is Laughable
The Portland Trail Blazers have scored 105.1 points per 100 possessions. That ranks 29th in the NBA. Ultimately, the Blazers have shot a 46.9% effective field goal percentage, totaling nearly 18% of turnovers. That’s a very poor combination.
Meanwhile, the Clippers have held opponents to 104.9 points per 100 possessions. Portland is only good at earning offensive rebounds, but the Clippers have allowed just 22.4% of offensive rebounds.
Clippers Have More Room To Improve
Don’t get me wrong, the Clippers aren’t a sensational offense, either. However, Los Angeles has at least shot a 52.7% effective field goal percentage. Beyond that, I’d expect the Clippers to get to the foul line more, with the Blazers giving up a 25.6 free throw rate this season.
Those two factors should give the Clippers a heavy advantage.
The Pick
Grab the Clippers at -8.5 tonight.
NBA Pick: Clippers -8.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
