Let’s take a look at today’s MLB computer predictions and find some value picks for the day, with the best betting odds courtesy of the top sportsbooks.
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MLB Pick
- Dodgers -1.5 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Friday, April 12, 2024 – 10:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium
The AI Model likes Yoshinobu Yamamoto in tonight’s matchup between the Dodgers and Padres. The Dodgers signed Yamamoto to the largest contract for a pitcher ever. Therefore, the AI Model believes the Dodgers are positioned nicely at home against the Padres and expect the Dodgers to win 5-3.
King’s Struggles Against Lefties
The San Diego Padres will roll with Michael King tonight. King has a 2-0 record with a 3.14 ERA as a starter for the Padres. However, the right-hander has still struggled against lefties.
Against 22 lefties this season, King has given up 36.4% of walks and a .372 wOBA because of it. He’s also struck out only 13.6% of lefties.
King is in line to face more lefties than righties in the Los Angeles lineup. The Dodgers’ projected lineup has also hit a .205 ISO and wOBA of .363 with 10.9% of walks against righties since last year.
I’m afraid for King in this spot.
Yamamoto’s Dominance
On the other hand, Yoshinobu Yamamoto will take the hill for the Dodgers. He hasn’t thrown more than five innings in a start this season. However, he’s struck out 34.2% of batters and has only walked 5.3%. He just had one bad outing against the Padres in Korea. Since then, he’s been locked in.
Meanwhile, the Padres’ projected lineup has hit a .139 ISO and wOBA of just .320 against righties since last season. The AI Model knows. Take the Dodgers to win on the run line. They match up so much better.
MLB Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
