NBA Prop Pick: Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 20.5 Points (-115) at Bet365
Picks Summary:
- Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 20.5 Points (-115)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 Rebounds (+100)
- Bam Adebayo Double-Double Yes ( +104)
The NBA Playoffs continue tonight and 2 Game 4’s will be played. Tonight, the Los Angeles Lakers will face the Memphis Grizzlies, and the Miami Heat host the Milwaukee Bucks. Both home teams have an opportunity to take 3-1 series leads with wins tonight. This makes for interesting situations when breaking down these player props.
The OddsTrader NBA player prop tool is a surefire way to find the best price for the player prop you are looking for. Using that tool I found today’s Best Bets for NBA player props.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Monday, April 24, 2023 – 10:00 PM EDT at Crypto.com Arena
Jaren Jackson Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies)
- Over 19.5 Points
The Los Angeles Lakers have an important game tonight. They currently lead the Grizzlies 2-1. If the Grizzlies are to win the series they’re going to have to make a statement on the road tonight. The Los Angeles Lakers won Game 3 111-101. This came on the heels of a terrible Grizzlies first quarter in which the Grizzlies were outscored 38-9. The Grizzlies did look to build some momentum off the final three quarters where they won 92-76. If it weren’t for the terrible start, Game 3 could have had a different outcome.
The Pick
Jaren Jackson Jr. went over his point prop total in Game 1. Jackson had 31 points on 13-21 of shooting from the field. This season, Jackson has shown increased repertoire in his offensive game. Before Jackson was a defensive-minded center, now he has become a force on the offensive end.
However, Jackson’s output has decreased in the last two games. Jackson only had 18 points in Game 2 and then 13 points in Game 3. Not surprisingly, the Grizzlies lost the two games and Jackson was not able to enforce his will on the offensive end. The Grizzlies know they need a big performance from Jackson to stay alive tonight.
Jaren Jackson has all the tools to be an effective offensive player. The Grizzlies know they cannot be solely reliant on Ja Morant as that did not work in Game 3. I expect a concerted effort to get Jackson involved on the offensive end and for him to try and have the effect on the game tonight that he did in Game 1. Jaren Jackson Jr. will go Over his point total tonight.
NBA Prop Pick: Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 20.5 Points (-115) at Bet365
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat
Monday, April 24, 2023 – 07:30 PM EDT at Kaseya Center
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks)
- Over 11.5 Rebounds
The Miami Heat scored the upset victory over the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 1. The Bucks lost more than the game, however, as Giannis Antetokounmpo left the game with a lower back contusion. Antetokounmpo missed Games 2 and 3. The Bucks were able to win at home without Antetokounmpo in Game 2 but in Game 3 they sorely missed his presence and Miami notched another win to take a 2-1 series lead. The Bucks expect Antetokounmpo to be back in the lineup tonight.
The game will probably be decided by who shoots better from three-point range and in each win, the winning team has shot exceptionally well from behind the arc. However, defensive stops will be at a premium, and rebounding will be key to securing the stops.
The Pick
With Giannis Antetokounmpo most likely back in the lineup tonight I expect a big game from the Greek superstar. Giannis knows his team needs him to do whatever is necessary, and in this case, it will be rebounding. With Antetokounmpo back in the lineup, the Bucks have a huge size advantage that they were not able to employ in the two games that he missed. Giannis is the size of a center with the quickness of a forward. He is a matchup disaster for anyone in the league, especially the smaller Miami Heat.
Giannis Antetokounmpo had three rebounds in just 11 minutes in Game 1. Now that he’s healthy, I expect to see him all over the floor tonight, especially on the defensive glass. This will be important because Giannis’ ability to grab the rebound and get the transition offense started will be key to the Bucks getting high-percentage looks. Giannis Antetokounmpo will go over his rebounding player prop this evening.
NBA Prop Pick: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 Rebounds (+100) at Bet365
Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat)
- Double-Double Yes
The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks are playoff rivals. They played three times in the playoffs in the last 4 years. In the bubble, the Heat dispatched the Bucks on their way to the NBA Finals. The Bucks got their revenge in their championship year by defeating the Heat. This rivalry is alive and well despite the differences in seedings. As a number one seed, many people thought that Milwaukee would roll over Miami. Yet this has been a series that has been close and exciting.
The Pick
Tonight’s game played in Miami will be decided in the middle. As mentioned earlier, Giannis will be active on the glass. To counter that, the Heat will need a big performance from Bam Adebayo. Two big stars are battling injuries in Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jimmy Butler. Bam Adebayo is healthy and needs to make his presence known tonight. Adebayo is averaging 17.3 points per game and 8.3 rebounds per game so far in this series. Adebayo had a double-double in Game 3 with 12 points and 11 rebounds.
Bam Adebayo will help the Heat compete with a Double-Double tonight.
NBA Prop Pick: Bam Adebayo Double-Double Yes ( +104) at Caesars Sportsbook
