Week 14 NFL Best Player Props: Dak Prescott Makes MVP Push

The NFL’s Week 14 odds board has a huge Sunday night showdown in the NFC East when MVP candidate Dak Prescott looks to lead the Cowboys to a big win over the Philadelphia Eagles. We also have another big Bills-Chiefs game in Arrowhead where Gabe Davis has been so good the last 2 seasons, and Justin Fields will seek a 4th-straight game with 100 rushing yards against Detroit at home.

To find more prop picks, make sure you check out the player props section on OddsTrader, and we included the top sportsbooks to make these player props for Week 14.

Picks Summary

• Justin Fields (CHI) Rushing Yards Over 60.5 (-114) at BetRivers
• Tee Higgins (CIN) Receiving Yards Over 36.5 (-114) at BetRivers
• Joe Flacco (CLE) Passes Intercepted Over 0.5 (-109) at Caesars Sportsbook
• Gabe Davis (BUF) Receiving Yards Over 39.5 (-115) at BetRivers
• Dak Prescott (DAL) Passing Touchdowns Over 2.5 (+155) at Unibet

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears

Sunday, December 10, 2023 – 01:00 PM ET at Soldier Field

Justin Fields – Total Rushing Yards

Justin Fields may be running out of chances to show the Bears he is the long-term answer at quarterback in Chicago. But to his credit, one of his best games this year was against the Lions in Week 11, which would have been a big road win if the defense had not surrendered a pair of late touchdowns to blow a 12-point lead.

In fact, Fields has run the ball extremely well against the Lions in all 3 meetings since 2022:

• 2022, Week 10 vs. Lions: 13 carries, 147 yards, 2 touchdowns
• 2022, Week 17 at Lions: 10 carries, 132 yards
• 2023, Week 11 at Lions: 18 carries, 104 yards

This makes Fields a unique talent, and he must deliver on the ground again if the Bears want any shot at an upset. In Week 11, his 100-yard game helped the Bears to 183 rushing yards, easily the most the Lions have allowed in any game this season.

The Pick

Detroit’s defense is really starting to look like the lousy unit that started 2022 for Dan Campbell to compile a 1-6 record before turning things around. The Lions have allowed at least 26 points in all 4 games since the bye week, including 26 points to Fields and the Bears.

Without having any answers on how to stop Fields from rushing for 100 yards in the last 3 meetings, why not count on him to do it again with over 60.5 in this matchup? We know the Bears aren’t going to magically find a high-volume passing game over the bye week. Let Fields run wild again.

NFL Pick: Justin Fields Rushing Yards Over 60.5 (-114) at BetRivers (check our BetRivers Review)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Sunday, December 10, 2023 – 01:00 PM ET at Paycor Stadium

Tee Higgins – Total Receiving Yards

A No. 1 wide receiver on many teams, Tee Higgins has often been injured this year, hurting his stats and effectiveness along the way. He made his return to the lineup after a 3-game absence against the Jaguars and finished with 3 catches on 36 yards. He caught all 3 of his targets from Jake Browning, who spread the ball around well and accurately, but he no doubt favored Ja’Marr Chase, who had a huge night.

But not every game can be a Chase game. This is why Higgins should be a good choice in this one as he has a full game with Browning under his belt now, and he’s at home where he’s had his best games this season with 110 yards against Buffalo and 89 yards against the Ravens.

The Pick

This could be a high-scoring game with the way the Colts and Bengals both scored over 31 points in overtime wins last week. The Bengals are looking very comfortable in calling plays for Browning after he rewarded them with a strong performance in Jacksonville.

They should throw more to their 2nd-best receiver this week and hopefully, he will stay healthy for enough snaps to clear his over with ease.

NFL Pick: Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Over 36.5 (-114) at BetRivers (check our BetRivers Review)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns

Sunday, December 10, 2023 – 01:00 PM ET at Cleveland Browns Stadium

Joe Flacco – Total Passes Intercepted

Joe Flacco is back to his old tricks with the Cleveland Browns. Despite just joining the team, the 38-year-old gunslinger averaged 12.3 air yards per target against the Rams last week, the kind of number that would easily lead the league for a season. He threw more deep balls in that game than any Cleveland quarterback in any game since 2018 according to Next Gen Stats.

This is peak Flacco as he loves throwing deep to see if he can luck into a completion or defensive pass interference flag. He also completed a 42-yard pass to Elijah Moore, a receiver he played with on the Jets last year.

Same Old Flacco?

But Flacco’s issue always has been that he gets intercepted on those careless deep balls too, and that happened last week too at a bad time with the Browns down 1 point in the 4th quarter. He did not need to be so aggressive, but he was in that situation.

This week, Flacco faces a Jacksonville defense that is very good at creating turnovers. The Jaguars have 12 interceptions and only 4 defenses have more this season. Flacco is likely to add to that as he has been intercepted in 7 of his last 9 starts going back to 2020.

The Pick

The prospect of Flacco throwing deep against a ball-hawking defense is too good to pass up here. He should get intercepted at least once, and the Jacksonville defense should come in knowing they need to step up their game given the Trevor Lawrence ankle injury.

We’ll take Flacco to oblige the defense with the gift of a pick.

NFL Pick: Joe Flacco Passes Intercepted Over 0.5 (-109) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday, December 10, 2023 – 04:25 PM ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Gabe Davis – Total Receiving Yards

This is another chance for “Big Game Gabe” to shine in what has been his element: playing in Kansas City with CBS’ Jim Nantz and Tony Romo calling the game.

It likely is all just a coincidence, but Davis always seems to have his biggest games for Buffalo when Nantz and Romo are there to call the game.

Coincidence?

In the 2021 AFC playoffs, Davis had the game of his life with 201 yards and 4 touchdowns in Kansas City in a CBS game called by Nantz and Romo.

In 2022, Davis had a season-high 171 yards and 2 touchdowns in a 38-3 win over Pittsburgh, a game called by Nantz and Romo. He also had 74 yards and a big touchdown before halftime in the 24-20 win over Kansas City in Week 6, a huge game called by Nantz and Romo.

In perhaps the most entertaining game in 2023 so far, Davis had a season-high 105 yards and a touchdown in Philadelphia, an overtime classic called by – yep, you guessed it – Nantz and Romo for CBS.

They’ll all be there in Kansas City this week, and Davis will have another chance to add to his list of big games.

The Pick

What’s probably not a coincidence is that Davis has been able to capitalize against the Chiefs given some of the coverage drawn towards No. 1 receiver Stefon Diggs. When Daivs had that 200-yard, 4-touchdown game in the playoffs, Diggs had 3 catches for 7 yards that day.

But last season, Diggs had 148 yards on 10 catches to beat the Chiefs, so Josh Allen is capable of handling multiple receivers with big numbers against this defense. He has passed for over 300 yards and multiple touchdowns in the last 3 meetings.

If the Bills are going to be successful again in this matchup, Davis has to make some big plays and easily get over 39.5 yards.

NFL Pick: Gabe Davis Receiving Yards Over 39.5 (-115) at BetRivers (check our BetRivers Review)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, December 10, 2023 – 08:20 PM ET at AT&T Stadium

Dak Prescott – Total Passing Touchdowns

Remember when the Cowboys were struggling in the red zone and we were talking about Dak Prescott having his longest drought (4 games) without multiple touchdown passes since 2018?

Well, that feels like a long time ago as Prescott has thrown 20 touchdowns over his last 6 games, the kind of hot streak usually reserved for an MVP season, and Prescott is one of the front-runners for that award at top sportsbooks now along with Brock Purdy of the 49ers.

If Purdy Can Do It…

But we saw Purdy throw 4 touchdowns against the Eagles last week thanks to huge YAC plays by his receivers, especially Deebo Samuel. The Cowboys attack differently with Prescott destroying zone coverage and hitting the vertical routes better than any other point of his career.

He can hang huge numbers on the Eagles in this prime-time game and take a lead in this year’s MVP race, perhaps for good if he keeps winning and leading the highest-scoring team in the league. Philadelphia’s defense is just not as good as it was last year, and we even saw

Prescott drop 40 points on that defense last December in a 40-34 win where he came up clutch with a 50-yard bomb to convert a 3rd-and-30 in the 4th quarter.

The Pick

Prescott is rolling at an MVP level, and streaks like this can usually continue when someone is playing this well. He has history on his side too as he has led Dallas to at least 27 points in 11 straight home games, the 3rd-longest streak in NFL history.

He also has thrown at least 3 touchdown passes in all 4 meetings with the Eagles since Nick Sirianni became their coach in 2021. Prescott is used to lighting up the Eagles through the air.

We trust him to deliver in this matchup with another 3-touchdown pass game, if not better.

NFL Pick: Dak Prescott Passing Touchdowns Over 2.5 (+155) at Unibet