Many recreational and professional gamblers are turning to player props to find profit during the NFL season. Betting on player props requires knowledge of a player’s skill but also of the matchup and the scheme that that player will likely face.
We also look at the potential game script. Which team will get a lead early? Having an early lead forecasts more rushing. Being behind most of the game leads to more passing. Due to the huge influx of numbers, the sportsbooks are more likely to make a mistake when it comes to player props, and many bettors have found these to be the most profitable way to enjoy the NFL season. With that in mind, let’s find the three best values on the board for NFL player props in Week 2.
Justin Fields Over 194.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Bills vs. Jets – September 14, 1:00 PM EDT
In Week 1, we always have a conundrum. Is what happened the new normal? Or, is it just an aberration that is amplified by the fact that we haven’t had meaningful football for more than 8 months? So when a player breaks out, we need to make a decision. I have made the decision that this is not an aberration for Justin Fields.
Fields had consistently been in bad situations for a quarterback. First, he was on the Chicago Bears, who have one of the worst track records of developing quarterbacks of any team in the league. Then he went to the Pittsburgh Steelers, where he was unfairly treated after starting the season 4-2 as a starter. Now he is with a team that believes in him and he plays with the best offensive line he has had in his career.
Fields has the best group of skill position players around him as well, with WR Garrett Wilson to catch passes. RB Breece Hall commands the defense’s respect of the run game and gives Fields more opportunity to throw. Fields will have a great statistical season this year. He will follow up on his 218 passing yard performance with another good game against the Buffalo Bills.
Also, the Buffalo Bills should get out to a lead early in this game which means the Jets will be passing early and often. Bet the improvement. Bet the gamescript. Bet Justin Fields to go over on his passing yards.
Stefon Diggs Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at BetMGM
Patriots vs. Dolphins – September 14, 1:00 PM EDT
Another thing that I believe to be true, which we saw in Week 1, is that the Miami Dolphins’ defense is terrible. After getting torched by the Colts for 272 passing yards, the Dolphins head home. The Dolphins do not have a true leader as their head coach, having regressed because they no longer have the leadership and toughness that a strong head coach provides. Play calling is great, but the lack of discipline is evident on both sides of the ball.
This is especially true on the depleted defense, which has lost many talented players due to the fact that the offense has been paid. This defense lacks talent and lacks togetherness. The lack of accountability in Miami has been more and more apparent each and every week. That shows up in basic execution, like not committing penalties and tackling with proper fundamentals. The Miami defense doesn’t do either.
We will be targeting player props against Miami all season long. Bet Stefon Diggs to have a good game against the hapless Miami Dolphins.
AJ Brown Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Eagles vs. Chiefs – September 14, 4:25 PM EDT
One thing that we saw in Week 1 that I do believe is an aberration was the dismal play of Eagles wide receiver AJ Brown. Brown was only targeted once, very late in the game. This was due to the game script and the fact that Philly was finding success on offense without targeting their star wide receiver.
However, Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts is a smart team leader, and he knows not to alienate one of his best players. Week 1 will be a blip on the radar, and this relationship will continue to be strong as Hurts will go out of his way to target his star, who has helped him in so many big games in his career.
This will be another big game as the Eagles get a chance to make a statement against the team they defeated in the Super Bowl, the Kansas City Chiefs. Take AJ Brown to go over his receiving yard props..
Log On and Place These Bets Now
The player prop market can be a volatile market because small amounts of money can move the line significantly. In this article, we have outlined three overs that you can bet on. During the week, overs usually go up as bettors are more excited to watch their favorite players exceed expectations rather than fall short. As a general rule of thumb, you bet overs early and unders late. Since we have three overs in this article, I would log on and place this bet now to make sure you get the same value that I have outlined in my reasoning for these picks.
New to sports betting? OddsTrader provides in-depth reviews to find out which sportsbook will meet your needs. OddsTrader has detailed reviews of each sportsbook, detailing the structure of their payout policy and customer service. Use the OddsTrader team of experienced experts to find the right sportsbook today.
OddsTrader Turbo Helped With These Picks
Not only does OddsTrader provide you with excellent blogs and statistics, but they also offer OddsTrader Turbo. This is a premium service that is well worth the investment. OddsTrader Turbo has been doing excellently this year. Their 5-star picks so far have hit with a 73% accuracy rating. The subscription also provides you with the “Exclusive BetStation” chatbot for expert advice, betting tips, and AI-powered insights. Another important tool is “Sportsbook syncing” to keep track of all your bets across all your sportsbook accounts in one place. Finally, OddsTrader Turbo provides you with game alerts and real-time line movement updates.
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
