Top-rated sportsbooks have released their WNBA odds for today’s action.
Two games, both part of the Commissioner’s Cup in-season tournament, will take place tonight and are worth investing in: Dream vs. Sun and Sparks vs. Wings.
For your best bets, I will recommend investing in the Dream to cover and in the Sparks to win straight-up.
The Picks
- Atlanta Dream -9 (-110)
- Los Angeles Sparks ML (-130)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun
Friday, June 06, 2025 – 07:30 PM EDT at Mohegan Sun Arena
The Spread
It might seem difficult to bet on any team to win by double digits. But this is a very modest ask for any team that is facing the Sun.
Connecticut is simply awful. The Sun are 1-6 and reliably lose by large amounts. Their losses have come by an average of over 20 points per game.
In their last game, their tendency to lose big became historically significant. They suffered the worst loss in the history of their franchise when the Liberty beat them by 48 points.
Before their latest game, their last two respective losses had taken place by 22 points against Dallas and by 24 points against Atlanta, the last team being their opponent tonight.
Atlanta’s Dominance Inside
When Atlanta beat Connecticut by 24 points, the former did not have Brittney Griner available. Griner will play tonight, though. Moreover, veteran point guard and two-time First-Team All-Defensive Team selection Jordin Canada will make her season debut tonight.
With Griner along with Brionna Jones, the Dream will be too tough inside the arc for a Connecticut defense that is one of the worst teams at guarding the basket, as evident in the high rate of field goal makes that they allow within five feet of it. Connecticut also allows the third-most points in the paint.
Jones has built a reputation for her superb efficiency specifically in the paint. Griner is a 6’9 menace with a tremendous wingspan that makes her tough to account for inside.
Takeaway
Atlanta thus will overwhelm a Sun team with even more scoring, in addition to more defense, than it did in their first meeting.
Connecticut, as the team with by far the worst offensive rating, cannot keep pace with Atlanta’s scoring. If anywhere, the Dream defense can be exploited in the paint, but Connecticut struggles more than every team but one to put up points in this area.
Atlanta’s matchup edge will only exacerbate the tremendous obstacles influencing the Sun’s capacity to succeed. Connecticut is clearly failing to adjust to the uniquely high levels of change and turnover in their personnel and coaching staff that they experienced in the offseason and that are contributing to their tendency to lose by so many points.
WNBA Pick: Dream -9 (-110) at Bet365
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings
Friday, June 06, 2025 – 09:30 PM EDT at College Park Center
Dallas’ Key Absence
The Wings will continue to miss key point guard Paige Bueckers. In addition to averaging 14.7 points per game, she is one of the league’s top assist-getters with 6.7 assists per game.
She adds crucial amounts of offensive production on her own and, perhaps more significantly, makes teammates around her better.
When the Wings scored 92 points against Chicago, for example, her teammate Arike Ogunbowale scored 37 points because the latter benefited from the ample spacing that Bueckers’ presence provides.
Dallas’ Offensive Problems
In their last two games, where they missed Bueckers, their offense declined dramatically and in fact really struggled.
Without Bueckers’ spacing and distribution, Dallas lacks reliable shot-creators. Her absence inhibits its potential to execute in a half-court setting.
It’s not like the Bueckers-less Wings have been playing tough defenses. Two games ago, they lost by eleven to a Chicago team that ranks second-to-last in defensive rating.
A Sure Loss
The thing about Dallas is that its margin of error is uniquely small. To win, the Wings will need to blow out their opponent. They’ve only been able to blow out the WNBA’s worst team, Connecticut.
In a tight affair, they don’t stand a chance, especially without their starting point guard. In close games, meaning in games where both teams are separated by five or fewer points with five minutes left, they are 0-5. Their offensive rating is worse than any other offense’s rating in this stretch.
They lack the ability and, toward the end of a game, perhaps even the energy to handle a focused defense, but even their own defense underperforms in crunch time.
Because they won’t blow out the talented Sparks, who reliably remain competitive, at worst, largely thanks to their efficient offense, the worst-case scenario is a close game. In a close game, they are sure to lose.
WNBA Pick: Sparks ML (-130) at Bet365
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
