UFC Fight Night San Antonio Best Bets: Taking Profit From the Judges’ Scorecards

Raphael Assuncao Cory Sandhagen Bantamweight Bout UFC 241
Raphael Assuncao and Cory Sandhagen fight from the ground during their Bantamweight Bout at UFC 241. Joe Scarnici/Getty Images/AFP.

Picks Summary

  • Marlon Vera vs. Cory Sandhagen: Cory Sandhagen by Decision (+120) at FanDuel
  • Holly Holm vs. Yana Santos: Holly Holm by Decision (-115) at BetMGM

This Saturday, the UFC returns to the state of Texas, and the marquee event will involve two top-ranked bantamweight challengers in Marlon Vera and Cory Sandhagen.

The best sportsbooks have delivered the betting odds for UFC San Antonio. We’re sharing our most valuable bets from the evening’s main event bout between Vera and Sandhagen and the co-main event between Holly Holm and Yana Santos.

Marlon Vera vs. Cory Sandhagen

Bantamweight Main Event Bout

Saturday, March 25, 2023 – 09:15 PM EDT at AT&T Center

Fighters Analysis

Marlon “Chito” Vera

Marlon “Chito” Vera (22-7-1) was never tipped to reach the upper echelon of UFC bantamweight contenders, but here we are. The Ecuadorian continues proving his doubters wrong.

Despite losing multiple fights on the scorecards, he has found TKO/KO paths to victory versus former champions like Dominick Cruz and Frankie Edgar.

Cory Sandhagen

Former interim title challenger and renowned technical striking purist Cory Sandhagen (15-4-0) has been consistently matched with a high level of competition since his UFC debut in 2018.

With a sleek striking offense and commendable ground game, the product of Elevation Fight Team is now hunting the No.5 ranking of Chito Vera and another opportunity at gold.

Vera vs. Sandhagen: Fight Tape Analysis

Styles make fights, and based on the fight tape, we should expect a striking war on Saturday. However, Sandhagen will likely be the fighter putting on a masterclass, as his movement, defense, speed, and diverse shot selection are levels above Vera’s.

What separates Vera from most is his willingness to engage in a war until the final bell. He’s carried abnormal fight-ending power through three and five-round bouts and, when backed into a corner, has done an excellent job of making his opponents pay the price.

UFC San Antonio Odds and Prediction

The UFC odds have rightfully positioned Sandhagen as the betting favorite.

Naturally, we should be tentative about Vera’s power. Still, Sandhagen has never been stopped via striker or TKO, and it’s difficult to envision the technical striking offense and defense of the American failing now.

Both men are incredibly durable, which should result in a five-round war, thus leading to a judge’s decision. But with a higher volume and smarter fight IQ, Sandhagen will likely be the fighter having his hand raised.

UFC Pick: Cory Sandhagen by Decision (+120) at FanDuel

Holly Holm vs. Yana Santos

Women’s Bantamweight Co-Main Event Bout

Saturday, March 25, 2023 – 08:50 PM EDT at the AT&T Center

Fighters Analysis

Holly Holm

Former women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm (14-6-0) and the fighter responsible for Ronda Rousey’s career’s downfall still compete at the highest level, aged 40.

You’d think “The Preacher’s Daughter” would’ve slowed down by now, but nope, she returned to the octagon in 2022 following a two-year hiatus and put on a great display – bad decision loss – versus Ketlen Viera.

Yana Santos

Yana Santos (14-6-0) eerily owns a similar style to Holm, almost as if she studied her opponent long before Saturday’s meeting. However, the big sister size and tactics Santos has found success behind won’t sit well with Holm, and she’ll meet her match.

Holm vs. Santos: Fight Tape Analysis

Santos returns from a round one ground and pound whitewash at the hands of Irene Aldana. She’s since married and changed names and gyms while being absent from the octagon for nearly two years. A return fight against the former champion isn’t simple, as her clinch work and striking offenses will be in jeopardy.

Physicality and output will win this contest, and it’s hard to ignore Holm in this regard. The former kickboxing champion competes at the latter stage of her career, but Santos doesn’t bring much to the table that Holm hasn’t already seen and dealt with.

UFC San Antonio Odds and Prediction

The UFC odds have placed Holm as the betting favorite, but nobody likes juice on a 40-year-old fighter. However, going to the judges’ scorecards has been a common occurrence for both ladies during their respective careers.

A clinching against the cage style of fight we expect will undoubtedly provide another, albeit with Holm raising her hand.

UFC Pick: Holly Holm by Decision (-115) at BetMGM

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