This Weekend’s Best Soccer Bets (May 27-28): A Ten-Year Dethroning In Germany Is Likely Upon Us

Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga soccer players
Dortmund’s players celebrate after the German first division Bundesliga football match between BVB Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Moenchengladbach in Dortmund. Ina Fassbender/AFP

Soccer Pick: Dortmund Half Time/Full Time (-188) at Bet365

We’re back supplementing your betting needs for this weekend’s elite-level soccer fixtures across Europe’s top-flight leagues.   

Continue reading our betting previews and soccer odds from the German Bundesliga and the English Premier League fixtures involving Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz, Leicester City vs. West Ham, and more.     

Picks Summary

Leicester City FC vs. West Ham United FC

Sunday, May 28, 2023 – 11:30 AM EDT at King Power Stadium

Leicester City

The final Premier League matchday of the 2022/23 season will be played this weekend, and Leicester City will be one of four teams fighting for their top-flight survival. They’ll welcome West Ham to the King Power Stadium, but if recent results reflect this game’s outcome, it doesn’t bode well for the West Midlands side.  

The Foxes’ torrid form has delivered an ugly run of run late, winning just 3 from their previous 22 domestic EPL meetings. Additionally, this team has allowed at least 1 goal in their last 12 home matches and won just 1 of their previous 10.   

West Ham

Oppositely, West Ham’s recent form has catapulted them out of the drop zone. While 2 wins from their last 5 don’t seem like much, a valuable six points have removed the Hammers from a relegation sweat as they have nothing but pride to play for in the final gameday of the season.  

Looking at the bigger picture, West Ham has won 6 of their last 10 games in all competitions. And despite a lackluster domestic season, they’ve booked a position in the Europa Conference final versus Fiorentina. They could be the lone squad positioned in the lower half of the EPL table to bring silverware home this season.

Premier League Matchday 38 Prediction, Odds, & Trends  

The EPL betting odds naturally favor Leicester City because they’re fighting for Premier League survival. However, a juiced moneyline price tag on a relegation-threatened team isn’t pretty, no matter how you look at it.  

West Ham owns the tenacity and fight to cause an upset at the King Power, and behind such a high-priced underdog number, we can back the visitors to win or draw for an excellent piece of betting value.  

Score Prediction: Leicester City 2 – West Ham 2 

Supporting Trends 

  • Leicester City lost the reverse fixture (2-0) earlier this season.
  • West Ham is undefeated versus Leicester in 5 consecutive domestic meetings.
  • West Ham has won 4 of their last 6 games in all competitions.
  • Leicester has won 1 of their previous 10 EPL domestic fixtures.

EPL Best Bet: West Ham Double Chance (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook

Borussia Dortmund vs. FSV Mainz

Saturday, May 27, 2023 – 09:30 AM EDT at Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund

The departure of Erling Braut Haaland last season stirred up controversy in Borussia Dortmund, and many critics never expected them to challenge Bayern Munich’s 10-year German title reign. But here we are, one season without their former frontman, with one matchday remaining; BVB is one win away from dethroning the German giants.  

With a home advantage in tow, Dortmund welcome Mainz to the Signal Iduna on the back of an epic run. They’ve taken 17 points from their last 21 available and will enter Saturday’s title decider after winning three consecutive games – netting 14 goals during this stretch.   


Mainz hasn’t had a terrible season by any means; it’s just their recent form that doesn’t help their chances this weekend. This team will arrive at the ground of the second-best offensive team in Germany with four straight losses, each of which saw them concede at least three goals.  

Saturday’s visitors will be happy to end the season, and with nothing to play for, can we expect them to cause damage and break their losing streak versus a title-chasing BVB?     

Bundesliga Prediction, Odds, & Trends

The Bundesliga odds are heavily in favor of Borussia Dortmund, and respectfully so. However, to find value in this game, we must look elsewhere.  

Considering the circumstances and the contrasting forms of each squad, there’s value to be found in Dortmund taking a first-half lead and keeping it until the final whistle. Furthermore, BVB has won 3 of their previous 5 games at half-time/full-time, and on home soil, they’ve achieved victory in the same fashion seven consecutive times.  

Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3 – Mainz 0

Supporting Trends

  • Borussia Dortmund has scored at least 3 goals in 3 consecutive Bundesliga games.
  • Mains has lost 4 consecutive Bundesliga games by at least 3 goals.
  • Dortmund has won 4 of their last 5 domestic games.

Soccer Pick: Borussia Dortmund Half Time/Full Time (-188) at Bet365

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